While the UFC continues to be the king when it comes to MMA and gambling, there is more MMA than ever to bet on now. Promotions all over the world as well as domestic ones are showing up in sportsbooks. The advantage here is that the data is usually quite a bit less sharp than when you’re making MMA predictions for the UFC. So we’ve decided to dig into some each week to get you started on your regional MMA journey. This week, we stay domestic for LFA 201 from Cajamar, São Paulo, Brazil for our regional MMA pick.
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MMA Regional Pick of the Week: LFA 201
LFA Strawweight Title Fight: Rose Conceição vs Lany Silva
Card Start Time: Friday (2/7), 3:00pm EST (UFC Fight Pass)
When this fight posted, the challenger came in as a slight underdog. However, the public quickly determined that was a mistake with the money pouring in on Lany Silva.
That makes a lot of sense to me based on the style matchup and the recent loss we saw from Rose Conceição. In her last fight on Dana White’s Contender Series Conceição had a lot of trouble with her opponent’s pressure and output. It had her on the back leg the entire fight and she lost a clear decision.
Now she’ll fight Silva who is much faster and more aggressive. I expect Silva to be able to follow the blueprint laid out and beat her up on the feet. She also should have a submission advantage should it hit the mat, so I feel good about her everywhere.
Also, while the line has moved pretty drastically, I still think there’s value to be had on Silva’s present number.
LFA 201 Pick: Lany Silva ML (-173)
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If you’d like even more info to help make your MMA and UFC picks and predictions for LFA 201, check out the MMA Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar.
