While the UFC continues to be the king when it comes to MMA and gambling, there is more MMA than ever to bet on now. Promotions all over the world as well as domestic ones are showing up in sportsbooks. The advantage here is that the data is usually quite a bit less sharp than when you’re making MMA predictions for the UFC. So we’ve decided to dig into some each week to get you started on your regional MMA journey. This week, we stay domestic for LFA 199 from Lemoore, CA for our regional MMA pick.
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MMA Regional Pick of the Week: LFA 199
LFA Featherweight Fight: Ary Farias vs Erick Visconde
Card Start Time: Friday (1/10), 10:00pm EST (UFC Fight Pass)
When the main event of LFA 199 fell apart and Ary Farias needed an opponent for the big main event, he instantly became the favorite to the books. They’re only now realizing what a mistake that may have been. Opening around -160, Farias has fallen like a stone. He’s all the way down to -112 the day of weigh-ins.
This also isn’t just us following the trends. We love the style matchup in this one. Farias is largely one dimensional with a jiu jitsu game that wildly outpaces the rest of what he’s capable of. That’ll be a nightmare for him against a guy like Visconde, who has a solid wrestling game and should be able to dictate where the fight takes place. Additionally, he’s far better on the feet too.
While the line isn’t as pretty as it was early in the week, there’s still value on the late replacement Visconde here.
LFA 199 Pick: Erick Visconde ML (-108)
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If you’d like even more info to help make your MMA and UFC picks and predictions for LFA 199, check out the MMA Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar.
