Champions League Matchday 4 kicks off this midweek with teams pushing for places in the knockout rounds.
On Tuesday, Newcastle travels to Dortmund looking for revenge after the defeat last week. Barcelona, Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City are all in action on the same day.
Meanwhile, Bayern Munich hosting Galatasaray and Arsenal playing Sevilla are two of the bigger matches on Wednesday. Manchester United, Inter Milan and Real Madrid all also hit the field to round out the slate.
The Sports Gambling Podcast Network has two best bets for you for Champions League Matchday 4. So, let’s dive into the fixtures to discuss the best betting value on the board.
Champions League Matchday 4 – Best Bets
FC Copenhagen vs Manchester United – Copenhagen +0.5 (-110) DraftKings
If you followed the Premier League article from this weekend, you know my feelings on this Manchester United side. We didn’t cash our ticket, but I’m going to bet against them once again here on the road.
For starters, the Red Devils have not played well on the road, owning a -2.2 xGDiff in all competitions, according to fbref.com. United has also lost the expected goals battle in five of six away matches.
As for the host, Copenhagen’s record may not show just how competitive the Danish club has been. Through the first three games of this tournament, manager Jacob Neestrup’s team has a -0.3 xGDiff. This includes matching Bayern Munich in xG in Matchday 2.
With Casemiro and other influential players out, I think this is a great spot for the home side to pull a shock result in this competition.
PSV Eindhoven vs Lens – Lens +0.5 (+100) Caesars
When these clubs met in the previous fixture, Lens closed as the slight favorite at home. What has changed in this short time that has caused the lines to move this much in PSV’s favor?
This is a Dutch side that has not won in the Champions League yet and has a -1.2 xGDiff in the tournament so far. This includes getting outplayed by Lens in the last match, although PSV came away with a point.
I also like how the French club has become so difficult to defeat. Over the last nine matches in all competitions, Lens has not been beaten, which is a run that includes the draws in the UCL at Sevilla and to PSV.
I believe there has been an overaction to the change of stadiums for the match. So, I’ll take my chances with this plucky Lens team to get a result in the Netherlands.
