Week 8 College Football Upsets: Moneyline Parlay

Week 8 College Football Upsets: Moneyline Parlay

Everybody loves an underdog story. Nothing is better than bragging to the entire bar about the plus-money bet you just cashed. Predicting a college football upset can give you a high that makes you feel like you’re standing on the mountaintop. You can bet these Week 8 College Football upsets against the spread, as single moneyline plays, or as a parlay, and you could be the Tailgate Hero. Welcome to the Sports Gambling Podcast Network Animal Shelter. Let’s find you a dog.

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Week 8 College Football Upsets: Moneyline Parlay

+2009 The College Football Experience Parlay

We here at the Sports Gambling Podcast Network love large odds. Some people say parlay betting is dumb, but when you treat a moneyline underdog parlay like a lottery ticket, it’s not. Let me explain. Many folks are avid lotto players. For example, Mega Millions and Powerball. The odds of winning the Powerball jackpot is 1 in 292.2 million, and even lower for Mega Millions at 1 in 302.6 million.

 

The notorious slogan is, “risk a little to win a lot.” What if I told you that you could place your $2 lotto entry fee on a measured college football moneyline underdog parlay where you can select your winning numbers based on analysis instead of a machine randomly doing it for you? This week’s college football upset picks would pay out $42.18 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

You can download the DraftKings app and use our code “SGP” on your first deposit. When you do that and bet $5 on any college football pick, you get $200 in bonus bets instantly!

There are 15 slates of college football. If you were to place just one $2 college football parlay each week, that’s a $30 dollar bet total. With just one correct +3064 The College Football Experience Parlay, that’s $12.18 of profit, $54.36 if two hit, $96.54 for three, etc.

Are you feeling more frisky? Those profit amounts increase incrementally with just a few extra dollars on each moneyline underdog parlay. Lastly, in case you weren’t already sold, I can promise you that watching Penn State, Navy, and Illinois play college football is more entertaining than 40 seconds of ping-pong balls.

Week 7 Recap

In back-to-back weeks, we have had dream-crushing conclusions to games. First, I’ll start with the luck box moment of the weekend. Colorado State scored 20 points in the final six minutes to beat Boise State. The Rams scored a touchdown, recovered an onside kick, and scored a touchdown.

THEN, they should have recovered a second onside kick! Instead, the Rams still forced a three and out, then finished off the game with a Hail Mary that was defended perfectly with a batted ball straight down by a Bronco defender right into a Colorado State WR’s arms. Incredible.

Wyoming choked a win away against Air Force. The Cowboys missed two second-half field goals and also had an extra point blocked. Lastly, it’s time to address the mess that was Head Coach Dan Lanning’s game management for Oregon. The Ducks led for most of the second half. Oregon outgained Washington by 126 yards.

The Ducks were 0/3 on 4th downs. Lanning chose to go for it in the final minutes, which set up the Huskies at midfield, only needing a field goal to take the lead. Washington then took a 36-33 lead. Bo Nix then led Oregon down the field without stress. The kicker missed the game-tying field goal as time expired.

It is an infuriating feeling, but the football Gods send their best soldiers to bet on college football upsets. After all, it’s the more fun way to live. We enjoy the weekly roller coasters, and those that don’t are too short for the ride.

College Football Picks Record (All 1 Unit Bets)

Every ML Dog Pick: 8-16 (+1.75 units)

Dundee’s Dogs: 3-5 (+3.35 units)

Noah’s Dogs: 5-10 (+1.4 units)

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Dog #1: Penn State Moneyline +145

I have a bitter taste in my mouth from earlier this year when I took Notre Dame to beat Ohio State. If the Fighting Irish don’t throw an incomplete pass during their final drive, or they actually play with 11 defenders during the Buckeyes’ final drive, Notre Dame probably knocks off Ohio State.

Penn State Head Coach James Franklin has had a smirky attitude all season so far. I think Franklin knows his team is legit this year and that he remembers last year’s finish vs. Ohio State. Go take a look at the box score, and you’ll see four total turnovers from Penn State and zero from Ohio State.

Former QB Sean Clifford was responsible for all four turnovers. He fumbled (OSU TD on the next play) and then threw a pick-six in the fourth quarter alone to aid the Buckeyes to a 28-point output in the final 15 minutes.

New QB Drew Allar has not recorded a turnover yet in his two-year career as a Nittany Lion. All Allar has to do for Penn State is don’t lose them the game in his third road start this season. Without costly turnovers, Coach Franklin and PSU have the ingredients to the “beat Ohio State recipe.”

Penn State at (-3.5) Ohio State (O/U 46.5)

The Buckeyes can be beaten at the line of scrimmage. First off, star RB TreVeyon Henderson is questionable for Saturday’s game. Second, Penn State has a tremendous pass rush. A 14.02% sack percentage for the Nittany Lions defense is the second-best rate in the country.

Penn State Defensive Coordinator Manny Diaz‘s defense should be able to get to Ohio State QB Kyle McCord. Third, Penn State’s secondary has also locked down opponents so far this season. They are tied for first in opponent passing yards per attempt (4.9), along with Iowa and Ohio State. Second-leading receiver Emeka Egbuka being questionable for the matchup is only going to help the secondary out as well.

Offensively, Penn State has one of the best running back duos in the country. Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen‘s accumulative stats don’t show it yet because they haven’t played full games against inferior competition, but they have the potential to trample the Buckeyes’ defense on Saturday. Contrary to Ohio State Head Coach Ryan Day‘s beliefs, read this article for my in-depth analysis of Ohio State’s lack of “toughness” against the run.

Lastly, I know what you’re thinking, “Ohio State is at home. They won’t lose this game.” The last time a top 10 team walked into Columbus was Michigan in the final week of 2022. CJ Stroud was at quarterback. He is much better than McCord. After losing in embarrassing fashion, Bucks fans were calling for Day’s head. The bottom line is if Penn State takes care of the ball this year, they have a chance at pulling off the road upset.

Dog #2: Illinois Moneyline +110

(-2.5) Wisconsin at Illinois (O/U 42)

Last season, Illinois smashed Wisconsin’s brains in 34-10 in Madison, WI. It was very clear that Fighting Illini Head Coach Bret Bielema, who once coached for the Badgers, had that game circled. This game will once again be circled for Illinois because Wisconsin’s 2022 Interim Head Coach Jim Leonhard is now on the Fighting Illini’s coaching staff as a “senior football analyst” as Bielema’s right-hand man.

Leonhard played Safety for Wisconsin and was on the Badgers coaching staff since 2016 and became the defensive coordinator in 2017. It was clear that Leonhard was being groomed to become the next head coach for Wisconsin football until it wasn’t.

Wisconsin’s transfer QB Tanner Mordecai is out indefinitely after breaking his hand last week vs Iowa. His backup, Braedyn Locke, finished the game 15/30 with 122 passing yards and an interception. Having an inefficient backup operating a first-year Air Raid (“Dairy Raid”) offense is not the recipe the Badgers want as they enter a hornet’s nest with a defense that will have an extra gear and be preached to give no mercy.

Last week, Illinois faced a pass-happy offense in Maryland and beat them 27-24 in College Park. The Fighting Illini contained QB Taulia Tagovailoa to 266 yards on 27/39 passing.

Wisconsin has an elite running back in Braelon Allen (559 yards, 6.1 YPC). I expect the Badgers to lean on him more than usual without Mordecai in this week’s game plan. The key to this game will be if Illinois can contain the run. In their last three games against Big Ten foes, Illinois is surrendering just 3.6 yards a carry. When the Fighting Illini faced elite Big Ten running backs with Penn State, they kept them in check. They’ll need to do the same this Saturday to pull off the upset.

Dundee’s Dog: Navy Moneyline +310

(-11) Air Force at Navy (O/U 36.5)

Each week, I will write up Pick Dundee, aka Colby Dant’s favorite college football upset prediction. Dant is the host of the Sports Gambling Podcast Network’s CFB podcast, “The College Football Experience.” Dundee also loves a good college football parlay and is well known for his success betting moneyline dogs. His favorite Week 8 plus-money-play is Navy to knock off Air Force.

Just like with Illinois, a big reason Dant has selected the Midshipmen is because Air Force QB Zac Larrier got injured in last week’s game vs Wyoming. It was announced that Larrier will not play this week, and Dant thinks the market hasn’t adjusted. Even if Larrier was playing, a military academy laying 11 when the total is just 36.5 is outrageous.

When the game is played in Maryland, Navy is 8-2 straight up. More than 36.5 points have also been scored in 8 of the 10 contests. Even though our soldiers-to-be live on military time, a good reason for this could be the body clocks for the Falcons. Saturday’s game will be played at noon Eastern, which is 9 A.M. Pacific.

In his first Commander-in-Chief Cup game as a head coach, Navy’s Brian Newberry will be looking to end the Falcons’ three-game winning streak over the Midshipmen and instill a three-game win streak for Navy this season.

The College Football Experience

For more analysis and entertainment on these games, make sure you turn into The College Football Experience. Colby Dant, PattyC, and NC Nick talk about each FBS game and mix in some FCS games, giving out moneyline and ATS college football picks every Wednesday!

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