Week 7 of College Football just concluded. Most teams have played roughly six games. College Football Bowl Projections are now reasonable, excluding Georgia, Michigan, and Liberty, who have played nobody yet. The 2023-24 Bowl Season will feature 41 total games and will hopefully feature the last 4-team College Football Playoff. There are 133 FBS football programs. 80 of them will be playing in a bowl game. As TV networks continue to expand Bowl Season, more below .500 teams are being projected to play in a Bowl Game.
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College Football Bowl Projections For 2023-24
My name is Noah Bieniek, and growing up, I was a bracket nerd. From 2nd grade on, I filled notebooks with make-believe brackets. Then, I would proceed to predict all the hypothetical matchups that I created. I have studied Bracketology specifically for college basketball. Last year, my work was featured on The College Experience throughout the stretch run. The bat signal went up in the sky, and now I’m doing College Football Bowl Projections for the Sports Gambling Podcast Network.
As for the actual projections, if your team made the bowl game that you wanted, you can ping me to tell me how well I did. If your team was left out, my name is not actually Noah Bieniek. It is “Colby Dant,” and if you have any complaints, you can reach him on Twitter/X @TheColbyD.
College Football Playoff Projection
National Championship (January 8)
Sugar Bowl Winner vs Rose Bowl Winner
Sugar Bowl (January 1)
No. 1 Georgia (13-0) vs No. 4 Oklahoma (13-0)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Oklahoma -1.5
Rose Bowl (January 1)
No. 2 Penn State (13-0) vs No. 3 Florida State (13-0)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Penn State -4.5
New Year’s Six Bowl Projections
Cotton Bowl (December 29)
Conference Tie-Ins: At-Large Big 12 vs At-Large
Texas (11-2) vs Michigan (11-1)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Michigan -3.5
Peach Bowl (December 30)
Conference Tie-Ins: At-Large vs At-Large
Oregon (11-2) vs Alabama (11-2)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Alabama -2.5
Orange Bowl (December 30)
Conference Tie-Ins: ACC vs Big Ten/SEC/Notre Dame
North Carolina (11-2) vs Iowa (11-2)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: North Carolina -3.5
Fiesta Bowl (January 1)
Conference Tie-Ins: At-Large vs At-Large
Washington (12-1) vs Air Force (13-0)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Washington -12
College Football Bowl Projections For Week 1 (Dec. 16 – Dec. 22)
Bahamas Bowl (December 16)
Conference Tie-Ins: C-USA and MAC
New Mexico State (7-6) vs Central Michigan (5-7)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Central Michigan -2.5
New Orleans Bowl (December 16)
Conference Tie-Ins: C-USA and Sun Belt
Liberty (12-1) vs Troy (10-3)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Troy -3
Cure Bowl (December 16)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC/C-USA/MAC/Sun Belt
South Florida (5-7) vs Marshall (7-5)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Marshall -9
New Mexico Bowl (December 16)
Conference Tie-Ins: C-USA and MWC
Middle Tennessee (5-7) vs Utah State (5-7)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Utah State -9.5
LA Bowl (December 16)
Conference Tie-Ins: MWC and PAC 12
UNLV (8-4) vs Washington State (8-4)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Washington State -8.5
Independence Bowl (December 16)
Conference Tie-Ins: Big 12 and PAC 12
Texas Tech (6-6) vs Arizona (6-6)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Texas Tech -1.5
Myrtle Beach Bowl (December 18)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC/C-USA/MAC/Sun Belt
Tulsa (6-6) vs Coastal Carolina (6-6)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Coastal Carolina -6
Frisco Bowl (December 19)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC/C-USA/MAC/MWC/Sun Belt
Colorado State (6-6) vs Texas State (6-6)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Colorado State -1
Boca Raton Bowl (December 21)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC/C-USA/MAC/Sun Belt
Miami Ohio (10-2) vs Georgia Southern (8-4)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Miami -0.5
Gasparilla Bowl (December 22)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC/ACC/C-USA/PAC 12/SEC
Navy (7-5) vs South Carolina (5-7)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: South Carolina -16.5
College Football Bowl Projections For Week 2 (Dec. 23 – Dec. 26)
Birmingham Bowl (December 23)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC/ACC/C-USA/SEC
Florida Atlantic (8-4) vs Florida (6-6)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Florida -9.5
Camellia Bowl (December 23)
Conference Tie-Ins: C-USA/MAC/Sun Belt
Ohio (11-2) vs South Alabama (8-4)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: South Alabama -2.5
Armed Forces Bowl (December 23)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC vs Big 12 or C-USA
SMU (11-2) vs Western Kentucky (10-3)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: SMU -7.5
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (December 23)
Conference Tie-Ins: MAC and MWC
Toledo (10-3) vs Wyoming (9-3)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Wyoming -1
68 Ventures Bowl (December 23)
Conference Tie-Ins: MAC and Sun Belt
Northern Illinois (8-4) vs Georgia State (8-5)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Georgia State -2
Las Vegas Bowl (December 23)
Conference Tie-Ins: PAC 12 and SEC
Utah (9-3) vs Auburn (6-6)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Utah -7.5
Hawai’i Bowl (December 23)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC and MWC
Tulane (11-2) vs Fresno State (11-2)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Tulane -3
Quick Lane Bowl (December 26)
Conference Tie-Ins: Big Ten and MAC
Illinois (5-7) vs Eastern Michigan (6-6)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Illinois -13
First Responder Bowl (December 26)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC/ACC/Big 12/C-USA/MWC/PAC 12
UCF (6-6) vs Louisiana (7-5)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: UCF -10.5
Guaranteed Rate Bowl (December 26)
Conference Tie-Ins: Big 12 and Big Ten
Iowa State (7-5) vs Nebraska (5-7)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Iowa State -7
College Football Bowl Projections For Week 2 (Dec. 27 – Dec. 29)
Military Bowl (December 27)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC and ACC
UTSA (7-5) vs Georgia Tech (5-7)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: UTSA -1.5
Duke’s Mayo Bowl (December 27)
Conference Tie-Ins: ACC and Big Ten
Wake Forest (5-7) vs Minnesota (5-7)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Minnesota -3.5
Texas Bowl (December 27)
Conference Tie-Ins: Big 12 and SEC
Oklahoma State (7-5) vs Tennessee (9-3)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Tennessee -9.5
Holiday Bowl (December 27)
Conference Tie-Ins: ACC and PAC 12
Louisville (11-1) vs USC (8-4)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: USC -5.5
Fenway Bowl (December 28)
Conference Tie-Ins: AAC and ACC
Memphis (9-3) vs Virginia Tech (7-5)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Virginia Tech -1
Pinstripe Bowl (December 28)
Conference Tie-Ins: ACC and Big Ten
Syracuse (8-4) vs Rutgers (6-6)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Rutgers -2
Pop-Tarts Bowl (December 28)
Conference Tie-Ins: ACC and Big 12
West Virginia (8-4) vs Miami Florida (7-5)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Miami -2
Alamo Bowl (December 28)
Conference Tie-Ins: Big 12 and PAC 12
Kansas State (9-3) vs Oregon State (10-2)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Kansas State -1
Gator Bowl (December 29)
Conference Tie-Ins: ACC and SEC
Duke (8-4) vs Arkansas (6-6)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Duke -1
Sun Bowl (December 29)
Conference Tie-Ins: ACC and PAC 12
Notre Dame (10-2) vs UCLA (9-3)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Notre Dame -7.5
Liberty Bowl (December 29)
Conference Tie-Ins: Big 12 and SEC
Kansas (7-5) vs Texas A&M (7-5)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Texas A&M -7.5
College Football Bowl Projections For Week 3 (Dec. 30 – Jan. 5)
Music City Bowl (December 30)
Conference Tie-Ins: Big Ten and SEC
Maryland (8-4) vs Missouri (8-4)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Maryland -1.5
Arizona Bowl (December 30)
Conference Tie-Ins: MAC and MWC
Bowling Green (6-6) vs Boise State (6-6)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Boise State -11
Reliaquest Bowl (January 1)
Conference Tie-Ins: SEC vs ACC or Big Ten
Ole Miss (10-2) vs Wisconsin (9-3)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Ole Miss -8
Citrus Bowl (January 1)
Conference Tie-Ins: Big Ten and SEC
Ohio State (10-2) vs LSU (9-3)
Current Sagarin Projected Line: Ohio State -7
Notable Projected College Football Teams That Miss A Bowl Game
TCU (5-7)
Mississippi State (5-7)
Colorado (4-8)
