NFL Week 7 is here! Last week, the referee likes ended up going 3-1. The lone like that did not come thru was the Jaguars choking away a two-point lead in the final minute of the game. In addition, the Ron Torbert under train continues to cash. Over the last two seasons, 16-5 to the Under, and over his last 39 games 29-9-1 (76%)! Let’s dive into this week’s NFL Referee Assignments and betting trends and stats!
2021-2022 NFL Referee Stats
Above are the betting stats and trends for the referees from last season! I will reference this throughout the season to keep track of which referees are continuing their trends to one side or the other. There are a few referees who are continuing those trends and I will reference that in the article as we continue the season. Again as a reminder, these are trends and should not be your ONLY source for making your bets. Let’s get into the NFL Week 7 Referee Assignments and betting trends!
2022-2023 NFL Referee Betting Stats and Trends
Another week and another game that Ron Torbert is assigned to officiate. As I mentioned above, Torbert officiated games are well above 70%+ over his last 39 games dating back three seasons. In fact, this season he is a perfect 5-0 to the Under with an average combined final score of 28.6 points per game. The NFL Week 7 Referee Assignment for Ron Torbert is in the AFC South clash between the Tennessee Titans and the Indianapolis Colts. Since 2020, Titans as a home favorite are 8-5-1 (61.5%) to the Under.
Referee Likes: Colts/Titans Under 42.5
Scott Novak has emerged this season as a referee who is favorable to the road teams thus far. In fact, road teams are 4-2 straight up and 5-1 against the spread so far this season. Furthermore, road underdogs are 4-1 against the spread. Novak’s NFL Week 7 Referee Assignment in the Sunday Night Football game in South Beach between the road team Pittsburgh Steelers and the home team Miami Dolphins.
Referee Likes: Steelers +7
Home teams continue to find success with Clay Martin as the referee for the game. In the Week 6 report, I highlighted Clay Martin as a trendy ref for the home team. Not only did the Giants cover as a 6-point underdog, but they also won the game outright. Dating back to last season, home teams are 15-6 (71.4%) straight up and 13-8 (61.9%) against the spread. Additionally, home teams are averaging 31.3 points per game. In Week 7, Clay Martin is assigned to officiate the Packers visiting the Taylor Heinicke-led Washington Commanders.
Referee Likes: Commanders +5 and Team Total Over 17
Just like Clay Martin, Shawn Smith is a referee who favors the home team. Thus far this season, home teams are 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread this season. In fact, home favorites are a perfect 3-0 on the season so far. Furthermore, home teams are outscoring the road team by an average of six points per game. Last week, Shawn Smith officiated the biggest upset of the week when the Steelers beat the Patriots as a 9.5-point underdog. NFL Week 7 Referee Assignment draws Shawn Smith to officiate the AFC North clash between the Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore Ravens.
Referee Likes: Ravens -6.5