Patrick Mahomes II – NFL – Player Prop Predictions, Lines and Trends

In advance of Sunday’s game, check out Patrick Mahomes II’s player prop bet options. He’ll hit the field at 4:25 PM ET on CBS. Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) meet the Buffalo Bills (4-1) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 6.

Mahomes Passing Insights

  • Compared to his 297.5-yard over/under for this matchup, Mahomes is passing for fewer yards per game this season (279.6).
  • In five matchups this season, Mahomes has passed for more than 297.5 yards once.
  • Mahomes’ passing yards average of 279.6 this year is lower than his average prop bet total (4205.4) by 3925.8 yards.
  • Mahomes has failed to hit the over on his passing yards prop total this year (in five opportunities).
  • Mahomes has thrown for a touchdown in all five games this season, with more than one TD pass four times.
  • In two of five games this year, Mahomes has thrown an interception, but he had only one INT each time.

Mahomes Rushing Insights

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  • Mahomes’ rushing yards over/under for Sunday’s game is set at 23.5 yards. That is 5.1 more than his season average of 18.4.
  • Mahomes has totaled more than 23.5 yards on the ground in three of five games so far this season.
  • Mahomes has an average rushing yards over/under of 271.6 so far this season. He’s come up short of that by gaining 18.4 yards per game on the ground.
  • Mahomes hit the over on his rushing yards prop bet total in three of his five opportunities this year (60.0%).
  • Mahomes does not have a rushing TD through five games.

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Buffalo Bills Rankings

  • The pass defense of the Bills is allowing 182.6 yards per outing this season, which ranks fourth in the league.
  • The Bills’ defense ranks second in the league with three passing TDs conceded so far this year.
  • The Bills have intercepted eight passes this season to rank first in the NFL.


Last Three Games

Opponent Date Comp/Att Pass. Yds Pass. TDs INTs Rush. Att. Rush. Yds Rush. TDs
vs. Raiders 10/10/2022 29/43 292 4 0 4 28 0
at Buccaneers 10/2/2022 23/37 249 3 1 4 34 0
at Colts 9/25/2022 20/35 262 1 1 4 26 0

Where To Watch Patrick Mahomes II

*Confirm FuboTV’s schedule of programming for exact games available

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