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Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots – NFL – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

Oddsmakers give the Miami Dolphins (0-0) the edge when they host the New England Patriots (0-0) on Sunday, September 11, 2022 in a matchup between AFC East opponents at Hard Rock Stadium. Miami is favored by 3 points. The game has a point total of 47.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Predictions

Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds

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Dolphins and Patriots: Betting Trends

  • The Dolphins beat the spread nine times in 17 games last year.
  • The Dolphins had an ATS record of 4-2 as 3-point favorites or more last year.
  • Out of 17 Dolphins games last season, seven went over the total.
  • The Dolphins won 71.4% of the games last season when they were favored on the moneyline (5-2).
  • The Dolphins won all five games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -162 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Dolphins’ implied win probability is 61.8%.
  • The Patriots’ record against the spread last season was 10-7-0.
  • The Patriots’ ATS record as underdogs of 3 points or greater was 3-1 last season.
  • Out of the 17 Patriots’ games last season, nine hit the over.
  • The Patriots won two of the five games they played as underdogs last season.
  • The Patriots had a record of 1-2 in games where bookmakers had them as underdogs of at least +137 on the moneyline.

Over/Under Trends

  • In five games last season, the Dolphins and their opponent combined to score more than 47 points.
  • Patriots games went over 47 points on nine occasions last year.
  • The total for this matchup is 47 points, 0.3 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams for last season.
  • These teams surrendered a combined 39.7 points per game a season ago, 7.3 fewer points than this contest’s total.
  • Dolphins games last season posted an average total of 44.0, which is 3.0 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • Patriots games averaged 44.1 total points last season, 2.9 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Teddy Bridgewater finished the 2021 season as the 65th-best fantasy player overall and the 41st-best fantasy QB with 202.7 fantasy points (11.9 per game).
  • Bridgewater recorded 202.7 fantasy points a season ago (14.5 per game), enough to rank him 65th overall and 41st among QBs in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • Last year, Tyreek Hill’s 185.5 total fantasy points made him the No. 85 fantasy player and No. 13 WR. He averaged 10.9 fantasy points per game.
  • Hill put together the 85th-ranked fantasy season (13th among WRs) in 2021 with 185.5 fantasy points, averaging 10.9 per game.

Patriots Players to Watch

  • Mac Jones had a stellar 2021 fantasy campaign that saw him collect 224.9 fantasy points (13.2 per game) and finish 47th overall among all players and 35th among all QBs.
  • Jones ranked 35th among QBs and 47th overall in league-wide fantasy standings last season after finishing with 224.9 fantasy points (13.2 per game).
  • Last year, Damien Harris 192.1 total fantasy points to finish as the No. 15 RB and the No. 74 fantasy player overall. He averaged 11.3 fantasy points per game.
  • Harris was 15th among RBs and 74th overall last season in the fantasy standings. He scored 192.1 fantasy points (12.8 per game).

Where To Watch Dolphins vs. Patriots

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