Week 12 is in the books! I bounced back with a perfect 3-0 week in Week 12 bringing my season record to 16-15 (51.6%). Let us build off Week 12 and dive into NFL Gambling Week 13 Stats Cheat Sheets! View below for my best bets, which I derived from intense statistical analysis. For all my NFL gambling Week 13 stats, click this link below:
Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts
Colts Season Trend and Defense
Following a loss this season the Colts are 3-0 straight up with an average margin of victory of 12.7 points and covering the spread by 8.7 points. More so, the Colts defense continues play at a high level. In addition, Colts defense ranks #7 yards per play allowed and allow only 23 points per game this season. Lastly, the Houston Texans will be without their best receiver Will Fuller and best secondary player Bradley Roby who were suspended for six games for the use of banned PEDs.
Step Up in Competition for Texans
Over the last four games the Texans offense has faced the 13th, 28th, 29th, and 32nd ranked defenses according to yards per play allowed. Those teams are the Jaguars, Browns, Patriots, and Lions. Furthermore, Colts are the 7th ranked defense according to yards per play. Lastly, the Colts defense is only allowing 210 yards passing per game this season.
Referee Scott Novak
I have stated in the weekly referee stats post that it is a great handicapping tool. As a result, Scott Novak is assigned to officiate this matchup between the Colts and Texans. In addition, home teams are 2-8 straight up, 3-7 against the spread, and are averaging only 19 points per game.
DOUBLE BEST BET: Colts -2.5 and Under 52
Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans
Browns Defense on The Road
Thus far this season the Cleveland Browns have played in 5 road games. As a result, the Browns are allowing 34.6 points per game on the road. Furthermore, Browns defense is allowing 401 total yards on the road. In addition, Browns are allowing 110 yards rushing and face the leagues best running back this week Derrick Henry.
Titans at home this season are averaging 30.3 points per game. Furthermore, Titans rank #6 in yards per play, #4 in yards per completion, and #6 in yards per rush attempt. Titans should not have problems moving the ball against the Browns. Lastly, the Titans receiving core should rake up yards against the Browns secondary translating to points.