Viva Las Vegas! The ghost town that used to be the Las Vegas Strip will be taken over by the PGA this week for the Shriners Hospital for Children Open. The course for the event is TPC Summerlin, which is on PGA2k21 so we’ll be getting a feel for the course all week. Summerlin statistically is the 10th easiest course on tour, which means Birdie Fest! And makes Daily Fantasy Golf Picks all the more fun.
We’re targeting guys who can go low. Looking for 20+ birdie potential with high bogey avoidance. Being in Vegas, the elevation means everyone has added length. So the 3 par 5’s are all reachable. Still, driving accuracy has been important in the past to help make those birdies. Only 3 of the 11 par 4’s play longer than 450. Statistically, the Par 3’s have been the most difficult holes. We’ll see larger than average, bentgrass greens, running at 11.5 on the stimpmeter.
Daily Fantasy Golf Picks
Anytime Webb walks on to the golf course, he is in contention to win. When playing a course where length is not a major factor, he’s an easy inclusion on our daily fantasy golf picks.
Webb is an elite ball-striker and putter who is playing some great golf. He is coming off an 8th place finish at the U.S Open and a 12th place at the Tour Championship. He took 7th last year at the Shriner’s Open. With good course history and quality play, Webb is a good starting point for any lineup.
Scottie Scheffler- $9,400
Don’t hold last week’s performance against him, he still finished 37th. We’re back on the reigning PGA Rookie of the Year at this price point. As far as daily fantasy golf picks go, he’s been one of the top players since July. He has one of the best all-around games.
Last 10 tournaments he’s gained 3.7 strokes T2G, 1.9 OTT, and 0.9 APP and ARG. Don’t be afraid to start your lineups here with so much talent still below.
Joaquin Niemann – $8,100
Joaquin should be well rested from his 23rd place finish at the Open three weeks ago. This is his third year playing at the Shriners, finishing 10th in 2018 and a MC in 2019. In an event where birdies are crucial, Niemann is great in OPPs gained (1.2) and BOB gained (1.4).
At $8,100, he’s great to consider in daily fantasy golf picks. His win equity is higher than those ahead of him (Cam Davis, Will Z, Zach Johnson) and will make a nice pivot play. He’ll be looking to forget that finish from last year and come back with vengeance.
Doc Redman- $7,900
Don’t be surprised if you see Doc get surgical with his approach shots this weekend. At $7,900, Doc pricing is very soft for this tournament. He may be a bit chalky this week, but the course seems to set up nicely for him. Doc is an excellent approach player, which is crucial if you want to be in contention come Sunday. In the past 50 rounds, he ranks out 4th in our model in approach. At the Safeway he gained a ridiculous 7.7 strokes on the field with his approach shots. If Doc can sink a few putts this week watch out.
Brendan Steele- $7,200
Steele ranks out high in our model this week. At $7,200 Steele is a good bet to make the cut. He has not missed a cut since June and has been playing some very consistent golf. Steele took 29th here last yr, and has some decent course history. At his price range, Steele is a nice piece to plugin.
Martin Laird – $6,400
Coming off a 28th place finish last week where he gained 4.9 strokes on the field, we’re taking Martin to keep the hot streak going. He’s used to playing easy courses, so this should be right up his alley. He also has a ton of experience here, playing every year since 2013, with 5 top-50 finishes, his highest being 18th. At this price, we’re looking for him to make the cut, but has a high upside for a top-25 finish.