Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks For Sunday, March 31

When it comes to horse racing, picking winners is one thing, but being able to capitalize off that is another. Racing is all about trying to maximize value on uncovering how a race is going to pan out. You’re often able to take a 2/1 horse and turn that into wager 100/1, depending on how you play it. Here are a few of the more simplistic ways to tackle Sunday’s card at Aqueduct racetrack.

Aqueduct, Race 6, $50,000 Maiden Claiming, 4:17 P.M. ET

The favorite in this race certainly looks vulnerable, only having one career start under his belt. In his racing debut, he came up short failing to capitalize in a small field last time out.

#8 Mounted Cop 8/1: What intrigues me most with this runner is how good his trainer has been with first time starters, and within the Maiden claiming ranks – both connecting around 22%. This is a great sign for a horse making their racing debut. The price will be fair to take a shot, and there is no better place to do so than with inexperienced runners and a favorite that looks beatable.

Bet $10 WPS on #8 Mounted Cop. Bet cost = $30


Sunday, Aqueduct, Race 8, $100,000 Maddie May Stakes, 5:21 P.M. ET

Race 8 at Aqueduct features a field of inexperienced runners, many of which are trying to their luck within the stakes ranks for the first time.

#4 Shelley Ann 3/1: She struggled in her racing debut, however since that first race she has progressed nicely. Her times have been fast recently earning her some of the top Beyer speed figures within the field.

With many runners trying their luck route racing (distances of a mile or longer), she’s already shown that the added furlongs aren’t an issue. Look for her to break to the front end, and with not a lot of speed entered, hopefully she is successful in her attempt to wire the field.

Bet $40 WIN #4 Shelley Ann


Aqueduct, Race 9, $75,000 Optional Claiming, 5:50 P.M. ET

Race 9 features another field of inexperienced runners in a shorter sprinting race. I like to back runners with experience sprinting as these races tend to play out a lot differently. There is much more of an emphasis on getting a clean break out of the gate. In sprinting races there isn’t a lot of room for error, and often horses with early speed rated well are tough to track down late.

#9 Tappanzee 8/1: This runner has shown some nice early speed which bodes well to overcome the outside post position. She has had troubles weakening late in the stretch and fading closer to the finish line, however working out a trip sitting just off the front runner seemed to work well for her, as it resulted in a maiden breaking victory last time out. She gets a huge jockey upgrade today from Dylan Davis to Kendrick Carmouche and that does not seem to be valued in the odds.  Take a shot betting her across the board to produce the upset at very generous odds.

Bet $10 WPS (win, place, show) on #9 Tappanzee. Bet cost = $30

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