Greetings fellow prop market investors and Thursday Night Football. Now that the Giants season is officially over I can re-appropriate my “watching reruns of the 2008 Super Bowl” time to deep diving the prime time prop markets to bring us all some sweet cold hard cash. I invite all other fans of dumpster fires including but not limited to Raider, Bucs, Bills, Titans, Colts and even Cowboy fans to trade in that fandom for Prime Time Prop Passion!
First up will be a intimate look the Arizona Cardinals vs the Denver Broncos, which coincidentally could also be a dumpster fire of different sorts. The Broncos head back to the road after a tough emotional lose to the Rams, meanwhile the Cardinals enter game four of the Josh “Chosen…9 picks later than Josh Rosen thought he should have been” Rosen era.
Will the Broncos buck their history of road game woes? Will David Johnson finally have his IM BACK game? For now, let’s dive into the matchup and identify inefficiencies in the prop market to get you paid on Thursday Night Football. For more in-depth analysis listen to the Week 7 Picks Podcast below.
Season: 16-14 (+1.1u)
MNF: 13-12 (+.15u)
TNF: 3-2 (+.95u)
Thursday Night Football Game Info
Time: Thursday, October 18th @ 5:20 PM Pacific
Location: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona
TV: FOX(Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Erin Andrews, Kristina Pink)
Spread: Broncos -2.5
Odds courtesy of MyBookie.ag
Thursday Night Football Prop Bets – Five Ways to Get Paid
1. David Johnson Over 99.5 Rush + Receiving Yards (-115) & 2. David Johnson to score a TD
I asked the question will David Johnson break out? Answer, YES! I considered playing both over rushing & receiving separate props but instead I settled on playing the combo yards prop and him to score. The Broncos defense currently sits at 29th against the rush, 19th against the RB in the passing game and 29th in defensive line yards look for the Cards to get him going early and often to slow the pass rush, this could be $$$ by half-time.
3. Total Sacks Over 5 (-105)
These teams are averaging 5.67 combined sacks, and frankly, with the way that the Arizona pass rush has looked of late, I could see them getting to Keenum 5 times themselves. Don’t overthink it, pound this over.
4. Ricky Seals-Jones Over 2.5 Receptions (-125)
Denver has struggled to stop the TE (28th DVOA) in the passing game and Ricky and Josh are starting to show some chemistry…over, over, over.
5. Demaryius Thomas Under 4.5 Receptions (-110)
Patrick Peterson, Patrick Peterson, Patrick Peterson…nuff said.
Good luck and Let it Ride!!!