Happy Thursday Night Football friends and fellow degenerates. This week we head to the NFC south in a classic matchup between high powered dome based offenses. Will the Falcons be able to over come the hapless Steve Sarkisian and get the running game going? Can anyone and more importantly the Falcons slow down 2 headed monster that is Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara? Selfishly I hope this is a classic 70 pt shoot out, TNF has been a real dud this year. Regardless of your take on the game Ill share some angles I plan on exploiting in the prop market tonight on Thursday Night Football.
Now lets dive into the matchup and identify the aforementioned angles to get you paid on Thursday Night Football. For more in depth NFL analysis check out(or listen below) the Week Fourteen NFL Picks Podcast where we breakdown and pick all 16 games on the slate.
Season: 54-41-1 (+10.35u)
Thursday Night Football Game Info
Time: Thursday December 7th @ 5:25 PM Pacific
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
TV: NFL Network, NBC, Amazon Prime
Spread: Falcons -2.5
Odds courtesy of BetOnline.ag
Thursday Night Football Prop Bets – Five Ways to Get Paid
1. Alvin Kamara Over 98.5 Rush+Receiving Yards (-110)
Holy shit is this dude amazing, props to Sean Payton here because he is an absolute stud. In walk the Falcons defense who is ranked 31st against the run and 23rd defending the running back in the pass game. Oh and this game will be played on turf. I expect Kamara to be featured early and often and although your paying for it dont over think it, ride the hot hand and take this prop to the window.
2. Mark Ingram Over 67.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
I want to have as much equity as I can fading this Atlanta run defense against the Saints. He has taken a back seat to Kamara but he is still churning out the yardage eclipsing this total in 7 of his last 8 games. Again please dont over think this one and try to pick a guy, just roll with both and double your pleasure.
3. Devonte Freeman Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Woot Woot how bout them running backs. Another juicy rushing matchup as although they are vastly improved on defense they still cant stop the run to save their lives. Freeman who even in a committee situation last week went for 74 yards against the MUCH more talented Vikings defense. Enjoy yet another RB prop.
4. Matt Ryan Under 271.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Matty Ice has fallen a bit from his MVP run of 2016, but this number suggests that he is still that same guy. Only once this year has he thrown for this many yards at home and that was against the lowly Tampa Bay Bucs and their 31st ranked pass defense. In walk the Saints who for all their deficiencies stopping the run, they lock you down through the air and with Marshon Lattimore expected to return I cant see Ryan getting it going in this spot. Enjoy routing against passing yards, YAY!!!
5. Will there be a score in the first 6:30 of the game YES (-120)
Both these teams rank near the top of the league in points per drive, TD pre drive and FG per drive. One of these teams will score early in this one. Another in the not a good time to try to be contrarian bucket. Enjoy the quick score and the satisfaction of winning.
Good luck and Let it Ride!!!