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Hard Knocks NFL Win Total Trends

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Does Being On ‘Hard Knocks’ Impact A Team’s Win Total Performance?

The NFL Draft has just finished which means the NFL win totals have just been released. Obviously eleven teams is a very small sample size when it comes to developing a trend, but teams who appear on ‘Hard Knocks’ have gone under their NFL win total 58% (7/12). ‘Hard Knocks’ generally likes to focus on teams that have a lot of hype going into their next season and fading teams backed by the public is historically a favorable strategy.

YearTeam NameWin TotalActual WinsResult
2001Baltimore Ravens1110UNDER
2002Dallas Cowboys6.5 (OVER -160)5UNDER
2004Jacksonville Jaguars7.5 (OVER -140)9OVER
2007Kansas City Chiefs7.5 (OVER +100)4UNDER
2008Dallas Cowboys10.5 (OVER -135)9UNDER
2009Cincinnati Bengals7 (OVER -130)10OVER
2010New York Jets9.5 (OVER +125)11OVER
2012Miami Dolphins7.57UNDER
2013Cincinnati Bengals8.5 (OVER +110)11OVER
2014Atlanta Falcons8 (OVER -130)6UNDER
2015Houston Texans8.5 (OVER -120)9OVER
2016Los Angeles Rams7 (OVER -130)4UNDER
2017Tampa Bay Buccaneers8??????

Sources: Sports Odd History, The Logical Approach, CBS Sports
*There was no ‘Hard Nocks’ 2003, 2005 & 2011

Sean Green is co-host of The Sports Gambling Podcast. When he isn’t giving out his free NFL picks, he works as a stand up comedian, writer and producer. He’s currently the head writer and supervising producer on “Crashletes” but has also written for Ridiculousness (MTV), SFTHF (Full Screen) and Guy Code (MTV Digital). Sean also hosts his own late night sports talk show “Sean’s Sports Show“.

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