Does Being On ‘Hard Knocks’ Impact A Team’s Win Total Performance?
The NFL Draft has just finished which means the NFL win totals have just been released. Obviously eleven teams is a very small sample size when it comes to developing a trend, but teams who appear on ‘Hard Knocks’ have gone under their NFL win total 58% (7/12). ‘Hard Knocks’ generally likes to focus on teams that have a lot of hype going into their next season and fading teams backed by the public is historically a favorable strategy.
|Year||Team Name||Win Total||Actual Wins||Result|
|2002||Dallas Cowboys||6.5 (OVER -160)||5||UNDER|
|2004||Jacksonville Jaguars||7.5 (OVER -140)||9||OVER|
|2007||Kansas City Chiefs||7.5 (OVER +100)||4||UNDER|
|2008||Dallas Cowboys||10.5 (OVER -135)||9||UNDER|
|2009||Cincinnati Bengals||7 (OVER -130)||10||OVER|
|2010||New York Jets||9.5 (OVER +125)||11||OVER|
|2013||Cincinnati Bengals||8.5 (OVER +110)||11||OVER|
|2014||Atlanta Falcons||8 (OVER -130)||6||UNDER|
|2015||Houston Texans||8.5 (OVER -120)||9||OVER|
|2016||Los Angeles Rams||7 (OVER -130)||4||UNDER|
|2017||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||8||???||???|
Sources: Sports Odd History, The Logical Approach, CBS Sports
*There was no ‘Hard Nocks’ 2003, 2005 & 2011