Does Being On ‘Hard Knocks’ Impact A Team’s Win Total Performance?
The NFL Draft has just finished which means the NFL win totals have just been released. Obviously eleven teams is a very small sample size when it comes to developing a trend, but teams who appear on ‘Hard Knocks’ have gone under their NFL win total 58% (7/12). ‘Hard Knocks’ generally likes to focus on teams that have a lot of hype going into their next season and fading teams backed by the public is historically a favorable strategy.
| Year | Team Name | Win Total | Actual Wins | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Baltimore Ravens | 11 | 10 | UNDER |
| 2002 | Dallas Cowboys | 6.5 (OVER -160) | 5 | UNDER |
| 2004 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 7.5 (OVER -140) | 9 | OVER |
| 2007 | Kansas City Chiefs | 7.5 (OVER +100) | 4 | UNDER |
| 2008 | Dallas Cowboys | 10.5 (OVER -135) | 9 | UNDER |
| 2009 | Cincinnati Bengals | 7 (OVER -130) | 10 | OVER |
| 2010 | New York Jets | 9.5 (OVER +125) | 11 | OVER |
| 2012 | Miami Dolphins | 7.5 | 7 | UNDER |
| 2013 | Cincinnati Bengals | 8.5 (OVER +110) | 11 | OVER |
| 2014 | Atlanta Falcons | 8 (OVER -130) | 6 | UNDER |
| 2015 | Houston Texans | 8.5 (OVER -120) | 9 | OVER |
| 2016 | Los Angeles Rams | 7 (OVER -130) | 4 | UNDER |
| 2017 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8 | ??? | ??? |
Sources: Sports Odd History, The Logical Approach, CBS Sports
*There was no ‘Hard Nocks’ 2003, 2005 & 2011
