Monday Night Football Props + NFL Week 4 Recap
Sean Green and Ryan Kramer recap NFL Week 4, from the Eagles losing to the Rams to the Giants climbing into first place. Then they break down their Monday Night Football props for Saints vs. Falcons, led by a Tyler Shough interception.
A 3-0 Lock Card And An Eagles Hangover
Sean Green showed up to this one straight from CJ’s birthday party, a few cocktails deep after a 5:30 AM wake-up and a flight home from Vegas. The first order of business was his Eagles. Philadelphia lost to the Rams and sits at 2-2, with 68 net passing yards on 31 dropbacks and zero third-down conversions, the most third-down attempts without one by any team since 2020. Sean put plenty of it on Nick Sirianni, who he still backs long term. But the injury list was ugly too, with Saquon Barkley pulling a hamstring right after the first play and Quinyon Mitchell dealing with a knee. His own card was the better story. Sean went 3-0 on his NFL locks and finally hit a tease, so the only blemish was the Eagles on the money line.
Minnesota is 4-0 anyway, and Ryan Kramer came armed with the stat that shows how strange that is. Only four teams in NFL history have started 4-0 while failing to score an offensive touchdown in two of those games, and the 2026 Vikings just joined the 1922 and 1923 Chicago Cardinals and the 1934 Detroit Lions. CJ and Luke The Young Sharp had Minnesota in survivor, so Sean spent part of the party watching CJ refuse to watch, refreshing Gamecast instead. Miami was getting 10 points on the show and lost 15-10. That cover only survived because Hawkinson caught the ball late and went down instead of falling into the end zone.
Browns, Colts And A Patriots Upset In Buffalo
The Thursday night lesson was one Sean says they already knew: in the AFC North, take the home dog catching three. Cleveland won 27-24 outright over Pittsburgh, Deshaun Watson has now won three in a row, and the Browns are 5-0 in their last five against the Steelers. Sean still sees value going the other way, though. Pittsburgh was 13-1 to win the division on the Visa show and is down to 11.5-1, and he still likes it there because Aaron Rodgers looked comfortable in the pocket on a short week on the road. Ryan is open to it too, mostly because he sees an inconsistent Cincinnati team and some fragility with a young Baltimore staff.
Sean cashed the Colts in London, 30-13 over Washington, after picking them at 3.5 and watching the number climb to 4.5. Daniel Jones as a neutral-field favorite kept him off a bigger bet, and the first half proved him right. Then Marcus Mariota aggravated his MCL, and Ryan is projecting a big dip from the Commanders next week. New England was the only winning leg on Sean’s money line parlay. The Patriots won outright in Buffalo with Drake Maye leading the team with 54 rushing yards, while Josh Allen flipped a ball behind his back as he was getting tackled. Neither host is moving much on either team, and Sean wants no part of the Bills at -215 to win the division.
Bears, Giants And The Discord Line
Both hosts had Chicago laying three at home, and the Bears beat the Jets 23-12 to get to 3-1. Olan called in with the stat of the night: only two teams in NFL history have started with three wins in four games where every win came from a different starting quarterback. He also had a four-leg parlay die on Amon-Ra St. Brown, whose line was over 76.5 receiving yards and who finished with 75. Dilly Daggers followed with a fair gripe about coaches taking field goals off the board on fourth down. Sean’s answer was to take the points when you’re ahead and get aggressive when you’re chasing, which is where Ryan landed too.
The worst beat of the day belonged to Ryan. He had a first-half parlay with a +2.5 leg as the fifth piece, worth $2,700, and with roughly 40 seconds left the team only had to avoid turning it over. Instead the quarterback threw an interception that set up a field goal try. Todd Bowles iced the kicker on a miss, and then he made the next one. Ryan finished four-for-five on that first-half card, which somehow makes it worse, and Sean admits he spent most of the story laughing at how fired up his partner got.
Ryan’s Giants are 3-1 and in first place after a 36-24 win over Arizona, and Sean was on the wrong side with the Cardinals at +2. A late pick six settled it. Abdul Carter had eight quick pressures, Deonte Banks returned an interception for a touchdown, and Malik Nabers got right with 112 yards and a score. Jameis Winston threw two picks and the Giants still won by 12, so Ryan’s fix is simple: let him throw it deep and outside and keep him out of the middle. He also wants the Najee Harris experiment over after the fumble.
Matty J then called in with the fan base’s view of the Eagles, and it was not kind. He had used his one 100% profit boost on Philadelphia at plus money, watched it vanish, and spent the call ripping Nick Sirianni and the wheel routes to Makai Lemon. He did cash a +700 on Jameson Williams with six catches for 80 yards, so the night was saved. Sean agreed with the criticism but wouldn’t fire anyone at 2-2. If forced to pick, he would let the offensive coordinator go before Sirianni, because everyone else on that staff has a ring.
Texans At 0-4 And The Rest Of The Sunday Board
The game that stung both of them was Dallas 34, Houston 30. Ryan and Sean were both on the Texans, who controlled it for three quarters before CeeDee Lamb took over late and made Dak look good. Houston is now 0-4. Sean had them as the AFC’s top seed coming into the year and now calls the playoffs a crazy long shot. Ryan floated betting them to miss the postseason, then asked whether Sean would take Bryce Young over C.J. Stroud in a redraft today. Sean thinks he’s there. Bryce, for the record, was one of Sean’s locks, with Carolina winning outright 32-26 over Detroit.
Carolina is now 11-0 against the spread off a loss, and Sean plans to keep riding it. Ryan’s takeaway from that game was Dan Campbell, who passed on a field goal down 13 in a long fourth-down spot and seems to have lost his feel for those calls. Elsewhere, Jacksonville won 22-17 in Cincinnati, and Sean regrets not making the Jags his money line dog. Tampa Bay covered the 3.5 in a 17-14 loss to Green Bay, though Sean’s Kenny Gainwell two-touchdown call only got one. The Titans also backdoored the 11.5 against Baltimore with Lamar Jackson ending up in a walking boot, and Derrick Henry finished with only 71 yards.
The late window treated the fades well. Both hosts went against Denver, and San Francisco won and covered 24-14 behind another good Brock Purdy game. The Raiders lost 30-27 to Kansas City but covered, and Ryan thinks they got too aggressive blitzing Patrick Mahomes. Seattle beat the Chargers 30-23, a push on the sheet. So Los Angeles is 0-4, and Jim Harbaugh is already fielding questions about Mike McDaniel’s job security. Ryan then walked through a schedule (Broncos, at Kansas City, a bye, at the Rams, Texans, at Baltimore) where the first win might not come until the Jets in Week 11.
Monday Night Football Props For Saints-Falcons
Then the guys turned to Monday Night Football props, and Ryan opened on Kendre Miller over 23.5 rushing yards, available at 23.5 at Blue Book and MGM and 24.5 at Green Book. He doesn’t understand where the number comes from. Miller turned nine carries into 30 yards in his first game, and New Orleans isn’t going to hand Alvin Kamara 20 carries, so if Miller sees nine again he clears it. Ryan would rather play the carries but couldn’t find them. Sean went to Davone Bevill, longest reception over 18.5, a number he’s cleared in two of three games. Ryan backed it up with a nugget: Atlanta ranks 28th against WR2s by DVOA.
Ryan’s favorite was Tyler Shough to throw an interception at +105, with +110 out there too. Shough threw 56 passes against Detroit with two picks, 34 against Baltimore with none and 42 against the Raiders with one, and Ryan calls plus money on that profile completely mispriced. Sean, a Shough fan, went the other direction and took him over 16.5 rushing yards after he’s gone 2-1 to the over. Ryan also likes Chris Olave to hit 100 yards at about +150 after lines of 10 for 182, 8 for 86 and 9 for 107. On the Atlanta side, Austin Hooper over 1.5 catches pays +170, because Ryan expects heavy personnel to keep him on the field.
Juwan Johnson And The 181-1 Degen Swing
Sean’s last straight prop was Juwan Johnson anytime touchdown at +250. Johnson has three touchdowns in three games, two of them in the Raiders outlier, but Sean doesn’t see a running back New Orleans trusts near the goal line. Ryan is on Johnson too, just through yardage, taking 50 yards at +150 (Sean saw +152) since he has hit that number in every game. For the degen swing, Ryan has Hooper for two touchdowns at 125-1, and Sean pairs Hooper’s two scores with New Orleans -1.5 at 181-1. Ryan also found Hooper under 1.5 catches, under 10.5 yards and a touchdown at only 40-1, and he doesn’t think that price is long enough.
The first touchdown cards nearly matched. Both hosts have Juwan Johnson at 14-1 and Noah Fant, with Sean at 30-1 and Ryan shopping Fant to 32-1. Sean added Michael Penix at 40-1 and Hooper at 35-1, while Ryan got Hooper at 50-1 and threw in Bijan Robinson at 20-1 on a hunch about heavier sets. Sean can’t touch the Atlanta back because he’s on the Saints. Then the show closed with Ryan asking whether Sean would make it to tomorrow’s show, and Sean, by his own account hammered, insisting he has never had an unplanned absence in 15 years. Ryan asked anyone with a counterexample to DM him.
Watch: The Downfall of Boston Sports
Podcast Chapters
0:00 Download the SGPN App Today!
0:13 Eagles Loss and Vikings Survivor Sweat
9:23 NFL Locks, Texans and Cowboys
14:03 Browns, Steelers and Thursday Night Football
19:16 Colts, Commanders and Mariota in London
26:58 KJ’s Social, Patriots and Bills
33:45 Bears, Jets & Olan on the Line
39:39 Dilly Daggers & Jalon Daniels Bad Beat
46:29 Giants Win, Jameis Winston & Najee Harris
51:26 Matty J & Nick Sirianni
59:56 Cowboys, Texans, Jags & Bengals
1:04:18 Packers at the Bucs
1:07:45 Eagles Lost to the Rams
1:11:10 Titans, Ravens & Dolphins
1:16:07 Niners, Broncos, Raiders & Chiefs
1:19:49 Winless Chargers & Seattle
1:23:47 Panthers, Dan Campbell & Tony Romo
1:31:05 Kendre Miller Rushing Yards
1:32:48 Davone Bevill Longest Reception
1:35:14 Tyler Shough Interception
1:37:11 Tyler Shough Rush Yards
1:37:56 Austin Hooper Catches
1:40:09 Juwan Johnson Anytime Touchdown
1:41:08 Juwan Johnson 50 Yards
1:41:36 Austin Hooper Two Touchdowns
1:43:10 First Touchdowns
1:45:05 Never Missed A Show
1:46:28 Thank You for Participating in the Sports Gambling Podcast
