UFC Fight Nights at the Meta APEX are getting increasingly rare, thankfully, so much so that I forgot which event number we’re up to this coming weekend (120). But make no mistake about it – this Saturday’s event is definitely APEX slop. For my MMA Prop Play of the Week: UFC Vegas 120, I’ve got a heavyweight knockout play. Let’s get it on, c’mon!
Go here for more UFC picks!
MMA Prop Pick of the Week: UFC Vegas 120
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld (aka UFC Vegas 120)
Start Time: 5:00 PM EST
Picking a heavyweight to win via knockout is not an unusual play (getting it for plus money on a favorite is). However, while big man Stephen Asplund has power in his hands, his knockouts more often come in the form of punches (and elbows) in bunches.
And I expect Asplund to lean into his unreal cardio on Saturday against Brazilian Guilherme Pat, who is not a volume striker himself (Asplund lands over three times as many strikes per minute as Pat does). Look for Asplund to drag him into deep water and drown him in strikes, resulting in a TKO victory, and a +150 cash for us.
UFC Vegas 120 Prop Pick: Stephen Asplund via T/KO (+150)
SGPN Daily Content for Aug 5th, 2026
Don’t Forget About our Free Picks Pages, Too!
COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS – THE PICKS POWERHOUSE
SOCCER PICKS – KICK IT ON THE PITCH
NASCAR PICKS – FEEL THE THUNDER
UFC PICKS – TAKE DOWN CORPORATE GAMBLING
If you’d like even more info to help make your MMA and UFC picks and predictions for UFC Vegas 120, check out the MMA Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar.
