The college basketball slate for February 12th is mostly low-major matchups, and that has the potential for chaos. If ever there was a night to bet carefully, it’s tonight. However, there are still a ton of games on the schedule, and we’ve got to have some action, right? We’ve gone through the numbers and found three college basketball picks that you’ll want to carefully lock up before games start tonight. Let’s get into it.
Are you looking for a sportsbook to place bets on our college basketball picks? Check out MyBookie.ag!
College Basketball Preview, Picks, and Best Bets for February 12
Matt Dewoskin ATS College Basketball Picks Record (Est 11/3/2025)
All Selections: 151-132-5
Perfect 3-0 Cards: 15-81
Central Connecticut State at New Haven
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Central Connecticut State enters this game with a 13-10 overall record and a 6-7 mark on the road. The Blue Devils are 12-9 overall against the spread and 9-4 ATS on the road.
New Haven comes into this game with a 10-14 overall record and a 6-4 mark at home. The Chargers are 11-10 overall ATS and 3-4 ATS at home.
CCSU won and covered against New Haven in late January. The Blue Devils won by nine points and just covered as an 8.5-point favorite.
Central Connecticut has won three of its last four games, including a road win and cover as a favorite against Wagner. New Haven has lost back-to-back home games against Mercyhurst and Chicago State. That’s right. New Haven lost a home game to Chicago State.
The Chargers play at a snail’s pace to limit opponent scoring. The issue is that New Haven can’t really score. The Chargers average less than 60 points per game this year, and they’re a bottom-50 team in shooting efficiency. CCSU is 56th in the nation in three-point shooting percentage, and can make its free throws. The Blue Devils are also the better rebounding team and the better at holding on to the ball.
This is a regional battle, and New Haven should get up for this game, but they just aren’t very good. CCSU is likely out of the race for the regular season title, but the two-seed in the conference tournament is still up for grabs, and the Blue Devils are in the thick of the race. Let’s lock up CCSU to get the win and cover on the light travel schedule.
Best Bet: CCSU -2.5
Mercyhurst at Le Moyne
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Mercyhurst comes into this matchup with a 12-13 overall record and a 3-11 mark on the road. The Lakers are 14-9 overall ATS and 8-6 ATS on the road.
Le Moyne enters this game with a 12-13 overall record and a 6-3 mark at home. The Dolphins are 14-10 overall ATS and 3-5 ATS at home.
Mercyhurst won and covered as a 2.5-point favorite at home against Le Moyne in January. The Lakers cruised to a win and beat the Dolphins by 14 points. Mercyhurst has won two out of three in this series, but lost at Le Moyne in 2024.
The Lakers have won five of their last seven, including a road win at New Haven. Mercyhurst is 4-3 ATS over that stretch. Le Moyne has lost three of its last four, including a home loss to Stonehill. The Dolphins have failed to cover in three straight home games.
Mercyhurst is better at protecting the ball and generating turnovers. The Lakers are a top-30 scoring defense in the nation, but that’s because they’re one of the slowest-paced teams in the country. Le Moyne prefers to play up-tempo, but they’re loose with the ball and are a poor-shooting team.
These two teams are tied for second place in the Northeast Conference at 7-5. A win here could start to separate one of these teams from the pack. Mercyhurst has been a bit of a spread darling this year, and this should be a one-possession game. They’re catching a possession and are good enough to steal this one on the road. Let’s lock up Mercyhurst to keep this within the number.
Best Bet: Mercyhurst +3
UC-Davis at UC-San Diego
Start Time: 10:00 PM EST
UC-Davis enters this matchup with a 15-9 overall record and a 4-6 road mark. The Aggies are 13-9 overall ATS and 5-5 ATS on the road.
UC-San Diego comes into this game with a 16-9 overall record and a 6-5 home mark. The Tritons are 12-11 overall ATS and 3-6 ATS at home.
UC-San Diego has won three straight games in this series, and covered two out of three. The Tritons won by six points as a 2.5-point favorite at UC-Davis in January.
Since the loss to UC-San Diego, UC-Davis has won four of its last five, including a road win as a 5.5-point favorite at Cal State-Bakersfield. The Aggies have won and covered three straight games.
UC-San Diego has lost four of its last five, including home losses to UC-Santa Barbara and UC-Irvine. The Tritons have only covered once in their last five games.
UC-Davis has the better free-throw shooting team and is the superior team shooting from range. The Aggies are also better at forcing turnovers. UC-San Diego can score inside, but UC-Davis isn’t terrible on the inside.
The Aggies are the hotter team, and they can hit shots. They also have the advantage if the free-throw game comes into play. UC-San Diego is trending in the wrong direction heading into March, and UC-Davis has been a bit of a spread darling. Let’s lock up UC-Davis and the 4.5 points to keep this close.
Best Bet: UC-Davis +4.5
The College Basketball Experience
For more analysis of every college basketball game in the 2025-26 season, tune in to The College Basketball Experience. Colby Dant, Moneyline Mac, and Noah Bieniek talk about each game on the entire slate. Listen for input on ATS and moneyline college basketball picks every night!
