College Football Week 11 Preview & Picks Recap
Pick Dundee (@TheColbyD), Ryan McIntyre (@Moneyline_Mac) and Bet Detective CJ Sullivan (@CJSullivan_) are back as The College Football Experience on the Sports Gambling Podcast Network continues its College Football Week 11 preview and picks.
Is Texas A&M the lock of the weekend against Tennessee? Can Indiana still handle USC after the line jumped from 7.5 to 10.5? Do the Dukies cover 13.5 in Miami? Will Cal keep it close at Virginia? Is this the week Hawaii wins one for June Jones? We talk it all and more on this episode of The College Football Experience.
College Football Week 11 Picks Open With A Memphis Triple Lock
Ryan McIntyre is finally back in the 304 after two weeks on the road. His fridge holds nothing but Miller Lite and Diet Coke, so the show starts somewhere easier: the rankings. Indiana dropped five spots on a bye week, and the guys read that as the committee answering Cignetti. Alabama sitting at three gets an eye roll too. Then CJ Sullivan reopens the West Virginia wound. He still can’t explain passing on a fourth and one with five minutes left, because that defense had already given up 41 first-half points.
The first real bet of the week is Memphis over South Florida, and it is a triple lock. CJ Sullivan loves the Tigers off their bye, since South Florida is playing something like its third game in 12 days. He is even shopping alt lines. Then Friday night heads to the Rose Bowl, where UCLA lays 10.5 against Illinois with the total at 48.5. Colby Dant backs the Illini and calls a 23-17 final. Ryan McIntyre joins him on the points and sprinkles the moneyline. But CJ Sullivan battles on the Bruins, because UCLA destroyed the Maryland and Michigan State teams Illinois barely got past. Meanwhile, Colby Dant takes Colorado plus 10.5 against Houston while Ryan McIntyre rides the Coogs.
SMU Gets The Revenge Angle And Duke Gets The Points
Saturday opens in Dallas, where SMU lays 1.5 to Wake Forest. Colby Dant locks the Deacs because he thinks they are the better team. The catch is that Lopez is questionable, and the bet leans on him playing. Ryan McIntyre just visited SMU and came home a convert. He locks the Mustangs on revenge and trusts Jennings to win it by a field goal. CJ Sullivan joins him, since SMU scored on its first eight drives against Virginia Tech last week. Next, Auburn lays 2.5 at Mississippi State, a number Colby Dant finds trappy. So he takes Auburn without a bet. Ryan McIntyre locks Hail State as a fade-the-fan spot. CJ Sullivan also sides with the home team, then locks the under 50.5.
Duke plus 13.5 at Miami turns into a triple lock. Colby Dant sees Manny Diaz getting up for a personal game against the program that took his quarterback and receiver late in the portal. Ryan McIntyre adds the first-half moneyline, figuring Duke comes out barking at an early kick. CJ Sullivan locks Duke and the under, and he sees a 27-20 grind. He also drops a sharp stat. Miami is 7-14 against the spread as a home favorite in conference games since 2020. Iowa State laying 2.5 to Cincinnati is the next triple lock. That one comes because Ryan McIntyre fades Satterfield in November and expects the Cyclones to win by 10.
Terps, Huskers And A Charlotte Upset Call
Ohio State lays the points to Northwestern with Aidan Chiles ruled out. That news flips Colby Dant, so the Buckeyes become a triple lock. CJ Sullivan calls it a Ryan Day foxhole and backs it with a trend. Ranked teams coming off double-digit losses are 59-42 against the spread since 2021. Ryan McIntyre predicts 21-3. Next, Maryland catches 8.5 against Wisconsin with Ryan Hopkins making his first career start on the road. So the Terps get a triple lock too, with the moneyline sitting at plus 270. But Nebraska laying 15.5 to Rutgers splits the room. Ryan McIntyre and CJ Sullivan double lock the Huskers as a Matt Rhule special. Meanwhile, Colby Dant backs off entirely.
Vanderbilt catches 17.5 against Alabama, and Ryan McIntyre locks the Commodores because DeBoer is terrible as a big road favorite. Colby Dant likes Vandy too and calls a 31-14 final. But he won’t bet it with Blaze Berlowitz out. Then Temple lays 2.5 to UAB. Colby Dant and Ryan McIntyre lock the Owls, while CJ Sullivan battles on UAB. The fun one is East Carolina laying 11.5 to Charlotte. Colby Dant figures ECU sleeps on a team it doesn’t even see as a rival, with Army on deck. So he calls it 27-17 with Charlotte covering. Ryan McIntyre and CJ Sullivan lock Charlotte, and Mac points to plus 390 on the moneyline.
TCU lays 11.5 to Kansas State and ends up a triple lock. Colby Dant hesitates first, because the Frogs rank 128th in rushing. Then CJ Sullivan pitches a 31-6 Sonny Dykes flex, and Colby joins. Rice is somehow a favorite over Tulane, and CJ Sullivan and Ryan McIntyre double lock the Owls anyway. Next, Sam Houston catches 7.5 at Kennesaw State. Colby Dant locks it and sprinkles the plus 250 moneyline to chase some losses, and Ryan McIntyre follows him in. Also, Missouri State gets a double lock from the same pair against New Mexico State. Colby’s reason is the weather, since a high of 45 in Springfield is no place for a team from Las Cruces.
Texas A&M Is The Blackout Lock Of The Week
Tennessee at Texas A&M is the number one lock of the weekend for Colby Dant. His case is simple. A&M has a $40 million roster and misses a bowl unless it wins this game, so Mike Elko has the biggest foxhole spot on the board. Ryan McIntyre calls it his favorite play. He already gave it out at 5 a.m. on a basketball show while breaking down Cal and USC. CJ Sullivan hears it is a blackout game and calls it destiny. So it becomes a triple lock and, later, the top contest play. Then USC at Indiana brings the line move of the week. The Hoosiers went from 7.5 to 10.5, and nobody can name an injury behind it.
Colby Dant bet Indiana at 7.5 after the SGP show. At first he leans USC at the new number. Then he talks himself back into laying it, because Lincoln Riley made his own fans feel bad after beating Ohio State. Ryan McIntyre wants to fade the West Coast team in the cold Midwest and calls 28-10. CJ Sullivan adds another trend. Teams that won their last two outright but failed to cover are 70-35 against the spread hosting a conference foe since 2016. So that is another triple lock. Jacksonville State laying 7.5 at Western Kentucky splits them, though. Colby Dant and Ryan McIntyre lock the Tops, while CJ Sullivan battles on Jax State and its pass rush.
Virginia lays 10.5 to Cal, and Colby Dant locks the home team. His reasoning is that Cal ranks 119th on defense and 137th running the ball. Ryan McIntyre battles him on Cal anyway, even after the Virginia schools both get called frauds. Then Oregon lays 11.5 to Michigan, and the lock battle flips. Ryan McIntyre locks Michigan and sees a 17-6 Oregon win. Meanwhile, CJ Sullivan locks Oregon and sees 28-3. He also locks the over 74.5 in Florida Atlantic and Tulsa. Finally, CJ Sullivan and Ryan McIntyre lock Northern Illinois plus the points. Their logic is blunt, because Nevada has no business laying a touchdown on the road.
Boston College, LSU And The Late Saturday Locks
Boston College at plus 28.5 against Notre Dame is a triple lock, and the first-half moneyline rides on top. The Irish have SMU on deck, so this one smells like a letdown. Ryan McIntyre calls it the lock of locks and sees a 24-17 Notre Dame win. Then Baylor gets a double lock at BYU from Colby Dant and Ryan McIntyre, plus a moneyline sprinkle. Fresno State plus 9.5 at Texas State earns another double lock from the same pair. But Oklahoma laying 1.5 to Ole Miss splits them. CJ Sullivan buys low on Ole Miss, since ranked teams off double-digit losses are 70-32 straight up. And Washington laying 3.5 at Michigan State is a triple lock, with Colby Dant calling 27-9.
LSU laying 4.5 to Texas at night is another triple lock, and Ryan McIntyre expects the Tigers to win by 10. North Texas lays 2.5 at UTSA, so the guys triple lock the home dog. CJ Sullivan also adds the over 76.5. Utah State laying 2.5 behind Bronco Mendenhall is one more triple lock. Then Oklahoma State catching 3.5 against Texas Tech grows into a quadruple lock once the producer piles on. UTEP gets a triple lock too, because Wyoming is without Tyler Hughes. Finally, the slate closes with Hawaii hosting North Dakota State. It is Hawaii’s first home game since the death of June Jones, so Colby Dant drops his North Dakota State lean for the Hawaii moneyline.
The Seven Contest Plays And A Tied Scoreboard
The contest race is now tied, and CJ Sullivan says this foxhole is where they thrive. His side with Ryan McIntyre starts with Texas A&M as the number one blackout play. Then comes Indiana at minus 7, the number they locked in for the contest. Oklahoma State over Texas Tech is next, along with Rice laying points at home. They also add Washington minus 3.5 and Florida plus 3.5. Finally, they take Purdue plus 17.5 in a night game at Iowa. Colby Dant also opens his seven with A&M and Oklahoma State. After that he goes Virginia Tech, LSU, UNLV and UTEP, then closes on North Carolina. And the last word goes to the guys realizing they forgot SMU.
Podcast Chapters
00:00 Download the SGPN App Today!
00:53 Mac Is Back Home in the 304
10:19 Memphis vs. South Florida Picks
11:36 Clark Atlanta vs. Fort Valley State Picks
12:33 Louisiana vs. ULM Picks
13:30 Azusa Pacific vs. Redlands Picks
14:02 Diplomats vs. Johns Hopkins Picks
15:00 Florida State vs. Pittsburgh Picks
18:24 Kean vs. College of New Jersey Picks
20:10 Illini vs. UCLA Picks
23:50 Houston vs. Colorado Picks
25:26 Late Night Friday T-Birds Game
31:07 Wake Forest vs. SMU Picks
36:13 Auburn vs. Mississippi State Picks
39:37 Duke vs. Miami Picks
46:18 Cincinnati vs. Iowa State Picks
48:38 Northwestern vs. Ohio State Picks
56:23 Syracuse vs. NC State Picks
1:00:05 JMU vs. UConn Picks
1:01:36 Wisconsin vs. Maryland Picks
1:04:02 Nebraska vs. Rutgers Picks
1:07:14 Georgia Tech vs. Clemson Picks
1:09:03 Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Picks
1:10:41 UAB vs. Temple Picks
1:14:01 East Carolina vs. Charlotte Picks
1:16:13 Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina Picks
1:18:39 Kansas State vs. TCU Picks
1:21:22 Tulane vs. Rice Picks
1:22:40 Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston Picks
1:24:09 FIU vs. Delaware Picks
1:26:19 New Mexico State vs. Missouri State Picks
1:28:32 Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Picks
1:31:33 USC vs. Indiana Picks
1:35:57 Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky Picks
1:38:46 Super Chat Shout-Outs
1:40:21 Missouri vs. Georgia Picks
1:42:05 Cal vs. Virginia Picks
1:44:56 Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa Picks
1:47:34 Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty Picks
1:48:21 Michigan vs. Oregon Picks
1:54:02 Nevada vs. Northern Illinois Picks
1:55:52 Arizona State vs. UCF Picks
1:59:57 Boston College vs. Notre Dame Picks
2:02:02 Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Picks
2:03:39 Fresno State vs. Texas State Picks
2:05:02 Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma Picks
2:07:42 Washington vs. Michigan State Picks
2:08:35 Southern Miss vs. LA Tech Picks
2:10:05 Kansas vs. West Virginia Picks
2:13:49 Oregon State vs. Boise State Picks
2:16:20 App State vs. Marshall Picks
2:17:03 Florida vs. Kentucky Picks
2:18:22 Louisville vs. Carolina Picks
2:21:28 Minnesota vs. Penn State Picks
2:22:47 San Jose State vs. Air Force Picks
2:23:56 Troy vs. South Alabama Picks
2:25:07 Stanford vs. Virginia Tech Picks
2:27:30 Utah vs. Arizona Picks
2:30:20 UNLV vs. New Mexico Picks
2:32:14 Texas vs. LSU Picks
2:35:23 Purdue vs. Iowa Picks
2:36:58 South Carolina vs. Arkansas Picks
2:38:59 North Texas vs. UTSA Picks
2:41:03 Utah State vs. The Snapper Picks
2:42:24 Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Picks
2:44:38 Wyoming vs. UTEP Picks
2:46:11 Colorado State vs. Wazzu Picks
2:46:53 North Dakota State vs. Hawaii Picks
2:48:13 Top Seven Contest Plays
2:53:09 Sign-Off & Socials
