Toto, we’re in Kansas this week! NASCAR heads to the Midwest after a couple of weeks’ stint of East Coast races. Kansas Speedway, the 1.5-mile oval located in Kansas City, Kansas, has provided some of the best racing in the series over the past couple of years. Including the closest finish in NASCAR history as Kyle Larson got the best of Chris Buscher in the spring of 2024 by just .001 seconds. Let’s dive in and take a look at this week’s NASCAR picks, odds, and best bets for the Advent Health 400 at Kansas Speedway.
Ty Gibbs brought it home for us last week, cashing our call out in this article as well as the “car lift” bets over on the NASCAR Gambling Podcast as he grabbed his first career Cup Series win at Bristol. Let’s try to run that back this week! Alex Bowman also made his return last week. While the finish wasn’t what he wanted, the feeling of being back in the car was. One more note, Corey Heim will be back for 23XI this weekend, piloting the #67 car.
When it comes to betting at Kansas Speedway this week, past Kansas performances are a great place to look. I’ll also be heavily leaning on Las Vegas from just a few weeks ago. Vegas is a sister track to Kansas, and the closest look at what to expect as the one comparison track we’ve been to early this year.
Odds to Win the Advent Health 400
Kyle Larson +575
Denny Hamlin +650
Christopher Bell +650
Ryan Blaney +850
William Byron +1000
Tyler Reddick +1000
Chase Briscoe +1100
Ty Gibbs +1500
Chase Elliott +1500
Carson Hocevar +2200
Bubba Wallace +2500
Chris Buescher +2500
Alex Bowman +3300
Joey Logano +4500
Ryan Preece +4500
Brad Keselowski +5000
Ross Chastain +5500
Austin Cindric +6500
Corey Heim +7500
Kyle Busch +8000
Josh Berry +12500
Erik Jones +12500
Zane Smith +17500
Daniel Suarez +17500
AJ Allmendinger +20000
Connor Zilisch +20000
Noah Gragson +30000
Todd Gilliland +30000
Michael McDowell +30000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +30000
John Hunter Nemechek +30000
Shane Van Gisbergen +35000
Austin Dillon +40000
Cole Custer +50000
Ty Dillon +50000
Riley Herbst +50000
Cody Ware +50000
NASCAR Picks, Odds, and Best Bets: Advent Health 400 at Kansas Speedway
Ty Gibbs Over William Byron (-115)
We’re going to start by riding the hot hand. Arguably, there is nobody hotter in the series than Gibbs. Not only is he coming off his first career win, but he also hasn’t finished worse than sixth place in the last six races. Every non-drafting track we’ve been to, Gibbs has finished sixth or better. His track record isn’t great at Kansas outside of one top-five finish, but that was the old Ty Gibbs. Now, he’s on a streak, with all the confidence in the world.
Byron hasn’t been overly strong at Kansas either, recording only two finishes better than 15th in the last five starts at the track. Gibbs had probably the second-best car at Las Vegas, and even after a setback from a speeding penalty, he still scored a top-five run. I’m riding the hot hand here. At 15/1, he’s worth a look for a second straight win too.
Under 3.5 Chevys in the Top 10 (+110)
This fun prop bet has been good to us when we’ve played it this season, so we’ll test our luck again this weekend. Chevy as a whole has struggled to start this season with their new body. In Las Vegas, they only had three cars inside the top 10. After the drafting tracks and road course of COTA, Chevrolet has yet to put four cars in the top 10 in any of the “traditional” oval races over the last five events.
At Kansas, in particular, they got four in the fall when SVG scored a 10th-place finish. Unfortunately for him, Trackhouse has not looked good this year overall. Last spring, only two Chevys finished in the top 10, and in the spring of 2024, Kyle Busch made it four cars in the top 10. Safe to say that isn’t a worry these days. I’d be more worried about him finishing top 30 if I were a Busch fan. This race should be primarily dominated by Toyota and Ford. Elliott and Larson should have the top 10 days. Outside of that, Byron and Hocevar are the only other Chevys that should be in contention.
Cody on last night’s Bristol recap 🤣 https://t.co/SKG0Xo1y3L pic.twitter.com/TkL8QL0Smh
— NASCAR Gambling Podcast (@NascarGambling) April 13, 2026
Joe Gibbs Racing to Win (+145)
Why pick one when you can get four? This isn’t a three-race horse now. If you place this bet, you have four cars in the mix who could all win this race. Denny Hamlin is amazing at this track; he’s finished top two in four of the last seven races here, and dominated at Las Vegas a few weeks ago. Ty Gibbs, we’ve already made the case for why he’ll be good. He’s been a weekly threat lately and had speed to match Hamlin at Vegas.
Christoper Bell has the best average finish here of all drivers over the last three seasons. It’s felt like a slow start to the year for Bell, but he finished fourth at Las Vegas and nearly won at Phoenix. Chase Briscoe finished fourth in both races here last year, and his predecessor, Martin Truex, was dominant here in that car. With this bet, you get four of the best options in the field.
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