Some people like to sweat out a bet for 9 hard innings – others like immediate satisfaction. Count us as being in the latter, which is why we like to get down with MLB NRFI and YRFI picks. And we’ve decided to pass that knowledge on to you with our NRFI bets for July 1. Go here for MLB World Series odds.
Of course, there are plenty out there taking blind guesses at this stuff. It’s easy to pick the best-hitting team or look at what happened in the last game. However, we spent the time pouring through the analytics to make sure that we give you the best odds to stay in the green on these NRFI and YRFI props for July 1. Come check out what we have cooked up for this slate of games.
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MLB NRFI and YRFI Picks – July 1
New York Mets vs. Washington NAtionals
First Pitch – 6:45 pm EST
Nationals Park – Washington, DC
Broadcast – ESPN+
In the top half of the inning in our nations capital, MacKenzie Gore will head out looking to limit the Mets. He got touched up a bit by a tough Padres offense last time out, but had been solid prior. In his three starts prior (17.0 innings) he had allowed just four earned runs and struck out 24. That includes a start against the Diamondbacks and one against the Braves. The Mets are league average at scoring in the frist inning, so I like Gore’s chances to return to form here and get the NRFI started.
To close it all out, David Patternson will look to keep the Nationals quiet. That shouldn’t be all that hard to do as they are the worst first inning team in the majors. They average just 0.23 runs per first inning and have scored just once in the last two weeks. Peterson, meanwhile, held the Yankees scoreless for four straight innings last start before allowing a Juan Soto home run. There are far less big boppers in this lineup that he’ll have to worry about.
NRFI/YRFI Bet for July 1: No (-130)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado rockies
First Pitch – 8:40 pm EST
Coors Field – Denver, Colorado
Broadcast – MLB TV
This NRFI has a lot going against it. Between the elevation and some starters who have had mixed results, there is a reason why this line is coming in at plus-money. However, I think there are things to like about this one today.
To start this one off, the Rockies bring Austin Gomber to the bump. He had a forgettable June, getting lit in just about every start he had in that month. However, the month prior, he held a 0.68 ERA through four starts (26.2 innings). So what makes me think he could return to that form for even a game? Some of the bad starts I’m going to excuse based on the fact that he ran into tough offenses. He faced the Astros, the Twins and the Dodgers twice in that span. Also, the Brewers are not terribly hot at the moment. They’ve averaged just 4.6 runs per game over their last five games and have been much worse on the road.
If we get through the first part of the inning, closing it out should be much easier. Bryse Wilson takes the hill for the Brewers and he’s held his opponents scoreless in two of his last three outings. The Rockies, despite having the benefit of Coors Field, still rank 18th in runs scored. If Wilson can hold Texas without any runs for six innings, getting three outs here against the Rockies should be a breeze.
NRFI/YRFI Bet for July 1: No (+115)
If you’d like even more info to help make your NRFI picks for July 1, check out the MLB Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar with their MLB picks today.