Player props are what it is all about now. Who needs boring old sides, and who wants the randomness of coin tosses and Gatorade? Prove that you know ball by getting down on a juicy slate of Super Bowl player prop bets. From first touchdown to receptions to MVP and beyond, the Super Bowl gives you some of the best player props to lay action on around.
Why would you ride with anyone except Degen Nation for the Super Bowl this year? Our team of handicappers, experts, and flat-out degenerates will outpick anyone when it comes to player props. So join us in the War on Corporate Gambling and LET IT RIDE!
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Super Bowl Trends, Prop History, and Best Bets
SGPN Super Bowl Staff Player Prop Bets – Receptions, First Touchdown, and More Props
Sean Green – Justin Watson FIRST 20 REC YARDS +3500
The Kansas City Chiefs have been lacking at receiver all season. Sure, Rashee Rice has been fun in the fantasy football blog-boy community, but this is the BIG GAME. This one is for the whole ball of wax.
You do not send a rookie to do a man’s job. Justin Watson has been reliable when the Chiefs have needed him, and this should be an easy cash as he only needs to haul in one good reception to hit it. Bonus points if you consider Watson for the first touchdown of this Super Bowl as well.
Ryan Kramer – Kyle Juszczyk 1st 49ers REC +2375
First, we set the stage. Super Bowl 58 features a couple of teams in the Chiefs and 49ers, with a narrow target distribution. Since Week 12, 81% of the targets have gone to 4 dudes (Deebo Samuel 23%, Brandon Aiyuk 21%, Christian McCaffrey 19%, and George Kittle 18%).
This presents top-heavy pricing, which tends to produce value “down the board” in a market-like first reception. We then remove possession variance by isolating only the 49ers 1st reception market.
Kyle Shannahan is the ultimate galaxy brain tendency breaker in the big spot, and I believe he has tipped his hand heading into the big game. With all eyes on his four dudes against the vaunted Ravens’ defense in Week 16 on the 2nd play of the drive (after a McCaffrey catch), they target Juszczyk over the middle like a Tight End.
Now, skipping again to the NFC Championship game vs. the Detroit Lions after a McCaffrey run, Juszczyk was once again targeted by Brock Purdy, but the pass was deflected.
Often, the 5th member of the skill group, out there with McCaffrey, Deebo, Aiyuk, and Kittle, has been Kyle Juszczyk. In two of the last four games, Kyle Juszczyk has been targeted on the first drive of the game. The Big Four are all priced at +290-+400, and Kyle is priced to the moon at +2375. Let It Ride!!!
Terrell Furman – Brock Purdy UNDER 31.5 Pass Attempts
Purdy. has gone under this line in 15/18 games this season. The key to dethroning the Chiefs is by attacking them in the run game and giving Patrick Mahomes as few possessions as possible.
The 49ers have been adamant about not allowing Purdy to extend himself by limiting his pass attempts, and I expect to see the same here. Side note: avoid any props around receptions for 49ers’ players in the Super Bowl.
Munaf Manji – Patrick Mahomes OVER 4.5 Rush Attempts
In the three playoff games this year, Mahomes has at least six rushing attempts in two of the three. Further, in the first matchup against the 49ers in the Super Bowl, Mahomes rushed six times. Let’s also not forget that kneel-downs also do count as rush attempts.
Justin Mark – Isiah Pacheco OVER 67.5 yards
Pacheco has hit this in his last four games. Even though the 49ers are 3rd best in rush yards allowed to running backs, they just let David Montgomery and Aaron Jones gash them for over 67.5 yards.
Steve Schirmer – UNDER 2.5 Turnovers
The 49ers are going to try to protect Purdy and take the ball out of his hands, and the Chiefs are playing a more ball-controlled offense during the playoffs. Styles will limit turnovers in the game.
Producer Josh – Mahomes OVER 26.5 Rush Yds
Once again, we’re doubting Mahomes, making him an underdog where he’s 10-1-1 on his career. Furthermore, he’s 4-0 at Allegiant Stadium in his career and is a better, more experienced quarterback than Brock Purdy.
Cody Zeeb – Kyle Juszczyk Over 4.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
This is a simple prop that can hit in just one play. Juszczyk is a veteran player that both play-caller and quarterback can trust. In their last Super Bowl matchup, Juszczyk caught three passes for 39 yards.
Sean Green – Travis Kelce MVP +1300
Oh look, I’m back, fools. Perks of being the boss. You have to listen to me tell you that the NFL has definitely rigged this game, and if you are betting on anyone other than Mr. Taylor Swift as the MVP of the first Swiftie Bowl, you are leaving money on the table. Kelce will set records Sunday night, so you better be ready to cash in on it. Not all player props have to be complex. Cash in on this easy Super Bowl player prop bet.