If you played all three picks from yesterday’s article, you would have had a nice little sweep. Brady Cook barely threw the ball against Ohio State. Ben Gulbranson hit a very sweaty lower play on passing yards, and Rocco Becht threw for 446 yards against Memphis. A three-play entry at Underdog Fantasy would have paid 6X.
If you missed yesterday, we’ve got good news. Three more plays from today’s slate!
Underdog Fantasy College Football 12/30 Bowl Games Higher / Lower Picks
Opt-outs have impacted a lot of the games today, but we’ve got a few leans on rushing yards, receiving yards, and even a touchdown play!
Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl: Penn State vs. Ole Miss
Kaytron Allen Higher 67.5 rushing yards
Penn State running back Kaytron Allen has cleared 68 rushing yards in five straight games. Allen finished with 67 or fewer yards in five out of 12 games this year. His rushing attempts total of 13.5 is a little beefy, considering he’s in a timeshare with fellow Sophomore Nicholas Singleton, but it’s playable.
Singleton isn’t really a ‘home run hitter,’ but he’s averaged more than six yards per carry or more in three of his last four games. He gets yards in chunks and is fully capable of clearing 67 yards in 10-to-13 carries.
Ole Miss has the 72nd-ranked rush defense in the nation. The Rebels have allowed 157.3 yards per game this year. The Rebs should expect a steady diet of hand offs when the Nittany Lions are on offense, and Allen should get more than 10 carries. Look to go higher on his rushing yards total in your Underdog Fantasy College Football Pick’em entry.
Capital One Orange Bowl: Georgia vs. Florida State
Ladd McConkey Higher 52.5 receiving yards
This is a tough game to cap because the majority of the Florida State defense has either opted out or entered the transfer portal. We do know that the majority of the Seminoles’ starting secondary won’t play.
We also know that Georgia quarterback Carson Beck will play. When Beck is starting, and Ladd McConkey is healthy, they tend to hook up more often than not.
Also, Georgia tight end Brock Bowers has opted out. Bowers served as a safety valve for Beck underneath. There’s a non-zero chance that a possession receiver like McConkey becomes the target Beck looks for when he needs to bail out.
McConkey has cleared 53 receiving yards in four of his last five games. The only game he missed was the SEC Championship game against Alabama. Beck will look to feed McConkey in the passing game, and he should clear 53 receiving yards easily.
Make sure you have the higher number on McConkey receiving yards in your Underdog Fantasy College Football Pick’em entry.
Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl: Wyoming vs Toledo
Andrew Peasley Higher 0.5 rush+rec touchdowns
Wyoming quarterback Andrew Peasley has scored in six out of 12 games this year. He’s also managed to score in two of his last three games.
This is Peasley’s last game in college, and the Wyoming Cowboys will probably make an effort to get him a score before the final whistle blows. He’s started for two years in Wyoming after spending four years with Utah State. He’s not really a lifer, but he’s played more games at Wyoming than he did at Utah State.
Toledo has a capable rush defense, and almost all of their key players should play. Toledo has the 51st ranked run defense in the nation and has only allowed 147.7 yards per game.
However, it should come with an asterisk. They posted these numbers in the Mid-American Conference.
The Rockets faced Illinois, San Jose State, and UMass in their non-conference slate. Illinois and UMass both racked up over 160 yards on the ground, while San Jose State barely tried to run the ball.
Wyoming has the 66th-ranked rush offense in the country and averaged 156.5 yards per game.
The Cowboys commit to the run, and there’s a good chance that Peasley manages to sneak one over the goal line in his final game in college. Take the higher number on rush+rec touchdowns for Peasley in your Underdog Fantasy College Football Pick’em entry.
Do you need expert picks for the College Football Playoff? The College Football Experience Podcast has you covered. Listen to Colby, Patty C, and NC Nick, take their advice, and let it ride!