NFL Offensive And Defensive Player Of The Year (Ep. 1639)

NFL Offensive And Defensive Player Of The Year

NFL Offensive And Defensive Player Of The Year

The guys (@GamblingPodcast) break down the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year odds and 2023 NFL Defensive Player Of The Year odds in their latest NFL Futures podcast. They cover takes on a ton of players including Christian McCaffrey, Justin Herbert, Joey Bosa, Aaron Donald and more.

(20:41) Drake London / George Pickens
Both London and Pickens receivers are longshots at 200-1, but have the skillsets and upside to consider for this future bet. Their chances will be limited by their respective QB’s in Desmond Ritter and Kenny Pickett (who has shown promise, admittedly).

(21:53) Kirk Cousins / Jared Goff
At 170-1 Kirk an interesting option as a bonafide QB1 for a likely playoff team, but he’ll compete with last year’s OPOY winner in Justin Jefferson. Jared Goff is another great option at 170-1 given their offensive success last year and overall upward team trajectory.

(23:50) Brock Purdy
QBs historically need a successful team season (aka deep playoff run) to win this award, and both of these guys have the chance to do that next year. Purdy did finish 3rd last year in Rookie of the Year voting last year and showed a ton of moxy in the playoffs.

(31:45) AJ Brown / Travis Kelce
At 55-1, AJ Brown is a strong option. Last year he had 11 TDs and over 1400 yards. The Eagles defense will likely take a small step backwards which may give Brown more offensive opportunities. Although a TE has never won this award, Travis Kelce would be the one to win it at 50-1.

(35:15) Amon Ra St.Brown
St. Brown burst onto the scene last year and helped the lead the Detroit offense to new heights. At 40-1 there may not be enough value here (in comparison to someone like Olave at 70-1) but his trajectory is high. Note, he will compete with several other young offensive threats.

(37:00) Joe Burrow / Justin Herbert
At 35-1, both of these QBs are very good bets. They lead high powered offenses with expectations for team success next year. Unfortunately for QBs, to win this award they need to have a somewhat historical passing season. Note, if you like someone like Herbert you should consider his MVP odds at 9-1 as the MVP award generally puts much less pressure on statistical offensive output.

(41:30) Jalen Hurts
After finishing third last year in OPOY voting, Hurts clearly has the ability to win this award. He is 28-1 and will compete with the likes of Josh Allen in this tier. An interesting play here could be to parlay the OPOY and MVP since historically QB’s with historic seasons end up winning both.

(44:35) Christian McCaffrey
McCaffery is an offensive superpower out in San Francisco and is listed at 20-1. He’s arguably the most talented offensive player when healthy (and that’s a big if) but he’ll also be limited by QB play. You can also argue that bad QB play could end up leading to more touches for McCaffery.

NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Picks
Christian McCaffrey
Jalen Hurts
Joe Burrow
AJ Brown
Austin Eckler
Chris Olave
George Pickens
Deshaun Watson
Christian McCaffrey
Justin Herbert
Austin Eckler
Chris Olave
Calvin Ridley
Deshaun Watson

(50:00) NFL Defensive Player Of The Year
There are far fewer candidates for the DPOY award. Historically, DPOY winners are defensive stat stuffers with alot of QB sacks. It’s difficult for DBs and Safetys to win because the strongest players at these positions are lock-down style defenders and typically get less offensive attention (and thus less opportunities for sacks or interceptions). There are also more multiple-time DPOY winners, so the pool of potential winners is lower.

(53:45) George Karlaftis
It’s difficult to pick a KC Chief to win DPOY but Karlaftis did have 6 sacks last year and the Chief’s game script could lend itself to Karlaftis having an even bigger impact next year. It’s also worth noting that Chris Jones did finish 3rd in DPOY voting last year

(56:23) Jalen Ramsey
At 100-1, Ramsey is a great option as he suits up in a new uniform for the Miami Dolphins. He can be a contentious player who some Offensive Coordinators may overlook as he’s perceived as being past his prime. He’s got the star power and overall appeal to get the necessary attention for this award.

(1:01:00) Kayvon Thibodeaux / Joey Bosa
Kramer makes another homer pick for Thibodeaux at 50-1, who does have the ability to rack up sacks and certainly has the star power to get enough media attention for this award. Joey Bosa is in this tier with slightly higher odds at 35-1 and has the talent to win, but historically has been limited by injuries.

(1:01:02) Aaron Donald
Donald is tough to ignore having won this award twice already. 20-1 are fair odds and despite being injured last year and hinting at retirement, is still in his physical prime. It’s not out of the question for him to come back and turn in another career year.

DPOY Picks
Aaron Donald 20-1
Joey Bosa 35-1
Za’Darius Smith 100-1
Jalen Ramsey 100-1
George Karlaftis 150-1
Joey Bosa 35-1
Kayvon Thibodeaux 50-1
Bradley Chubb 60-1
Jalen Ramsey 100-1
George Karlaftis 150-1
Azeez Ojulari 200-1

2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Odds

Player Odds
Ja’Marr Chase 1200
Justin Jefferson 1400
Cooper Kupp 2000
Tyreek Hill 2000
Christian McCaffrey 2000
Jonathan Taylor 2000
Lamar Jackson 2200
Justin Fields 2200
Jalen Hurts 2500
Nick Chubb 2500
Patrick Mahomes 2500
Garrett Wilson 2500
Josh Allen 2800
Davante Adams 2800
Stefon Diggs 3000
Saquon Barkley 3300
Justin Herbert 3500
Derrick Henry 3500
Joe Burrow 3500
Amon-Ra St. Brown 4000
Breece Hall 4000
CeeDee Lamb 4000
Trevor Lawrence 4000
Deebo Samuel 4000
Bijan Robinson 4500
Tony Pollard 4500
Travis Kelce 5000
Aaron Rodgers 5000
Josh Jacobs 5500
A.J. Brown 5500
Travis Etienne Jr. 5500
Tua Tagovailoa 6000
Austin Ekeler 6000
DeAndre Hopkins 7000
Chris Olave 7000
Rhamondre Stevenson 7000
Aaron Jones 8000
Jaylen Waddle 8000
D.K. Metcalf 8000
Dak Prescott 8000
Kenneth Walker III 8000
Daniel Jones 10000
Tee Higgins 10000
Javonte Williams 10000
Matthew Stafford 12000
Russell Wilson 12000
Jahmyr Gibbs 12000
Calvin Ridley 12000
Christian Watson 12000
Terry McLaurin 12000
George Kittle 12000
D’Andre Swift 12000
DeVonta Smith 12000
Dameon Pierce 12000
Amari Cooper 12000
Isiah Pacheco 13000
Geno Smith 13000
Brock Purdy 13000
Dalvin Cook 13000
Kyler Murray 15000
Jerry Jeudy 15000
D.J. Moore 15000
Tyler Lockett 15000
Kyle Pitts 15000
Rachaad White 15000
Darren Waller 15000
Derek Carr 15000
Courtland Sutton 15000
Trey Lance 15000
Miles Sanders 15000
Kenny Pickett 15000
Jared Goff 17000
Alvin Kamara 17000
Mike Evans 17000
Joe Mixon 17000
David Montgomery 17000
Brian Robinson Jr. 17000
Kadarius Toney 17000
Kirk Cousins 17000
Christian Kirk 20000
T.J. Hockenson 20000
Diontae Johnson 20000
Pat Freiermuth 20000
Chris Godwin 20000
Khalil Herbert 20000
Michael Thomas 20000
Evan Engram 20000
Najee Harris 20000
Brandin Cooks 20000
Brandon Aiyuk 20000
Treylon Burks 20000
George Pickens 20000
Drake London 20000
Jordan Addison 20000
Mac Jones 20000
Jahan Dotson 20000
Gabriel Davis 20000
Dallas Goedert 20000
Rashod Bateman 20000
Raheem Mostert 20000
Keenan Allen 20000
JuJu Smith-Schuster 20000
Romeo Doubs 20000
David Njoku 20000
D’Onta Foreman 20000
Michael Pittman Jr. 20000
Allen Lazard 20000
Sam Howell 20000
Mark Andrews 20000
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 20000
Odell Beckham Jr 20000
JK Dobbins 20000
Darnell Mooney 25000
Jakobi Meyers 25000
Marquise Brown 25000
D.J. Chark 25000
Tyler Higbee 25000
Isaiah Hodgins 25000
A.J. Dillon 25000
Hunter Renfrow 25000
Hunter Henry 25000
James Cook 25000
DeVante Parker 25000
Dalton Schultz 25000
Deshaun Watson 25000
James Conner 25000
Bryce Young 25000
Quentin Johnson 25000
Alec Pierce 25000
Elijah Moore 25000
Ezekiel Elliott 25000
Ryan Tannehill 25000
Mike Williams 25000
Kareem Hunt 25000
Desmond Ridder 25000
Zay Flowers 25000
Tyler Boyd 25000
Cole Kmet 25000
Anthony Richardson 25000
Michael Gallup 25000
Nico Collins 25000
Elijah Mitchell 25000
Damien Harris 25000
Tyler Allgeier 25000
Cam Akers 25000
Cordarrelle Patterson 25000
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 25000
Robert Woods 25000


2023 NFL Defensive Player Of The Year Odds

Player Odds
Micah Parsons 700
Myles Garrett 700
T.J. Watt 800
Nick Bosa 1100
Ahmad Gardner 1300
Maxx Crosby 1300
Aaron Donald 2000
Brian Burns 2200
Haason Reddick 2500
Quinnen Williams 3000
Aidan Hutchinson 3000
Chris Jones 3000
Joey Bosa 3500
Rashan Gary 4000
Roquan Smith 4000
Patrick Surtain II 4000
Kayvon Thibodeaux 5000
Chase Young 5000
Fred Warner 5000
Matthew Judon 5000
Jaelan Phillips 5000
Von Miller 6000
Bradley Chubb 6000
Travon Walker 6000
Trey Hendrickson 7500
Derwin James 7500
Jaycee Horn 8500
Shaquille Leonard 8500
Danielle Hunter 10000
Talanoa Hufanga 10000
Jeffrey Simmons 10000
Justin Simmons 10000
Randy Gregory 10000
Tariq Woolen 10000
Za’Darius Smith 10000
Bobby Wagner 10000
Nick Bolton 10000
Kyle Hamilton 10000
Sam Hubbard 10000
Jalen Ramsey 10000
Harold Landry 10000
Minkah Fitzpatrick 10000
Darius Slay Jr. 10000
Javon Hargrave 10000
Will Anderson Jr. 10000
Jack Jones 15000
Antoine Winfield Jr 15000
A.J Terrell 15000
Devin White 15000
George Karlaftis 15000
Trevon Diggs 15000
Jeremy Chinn 15000
Josh Uche 15000
Jaire Alexander 15000
Lavonte David 15000
Josh Allen (JAX) 15000
Jevon Holland 15000
Kevin Byard 15000
Jalen Pitre 15000
Shaquil Barrett 15000
Malcolm Rodriguez 15000
Tre’Davious White 15000
Stephon Gilmore 15000
Xavien Howard 20000
Tyrann Mathieu 20000
Derek Stingley 20000
Arik Armstead 20000
J.C. Jackson 20000
Jamal Adams 20000
Jordan Poyer 20000
Denico Autry 20000
Yannick Ngakoue 20000
C.J.Mosley 20000
Marshon Lattimore 20000
Vita Vea 20000
Demarcus Lawrence 20000
Khalil Mack 20000
Jordan Whitehead 20000
Odafe Oweh 20000
Marlon Humphrey 20000
Jessie Bates III 20000
Leonard Williams 20000
Budda Baker 20000
Grady Jarrett 20000
Jeremiah Owusu-Koromoah 20000
Deatrich Wise Jr. 20000
Jonathan Allen 20000
Cam Heyward 20000
Denzel Ward 20000
DeForest Buckner 20000
Azeez Ojulari 20000
Chandler Jones 20000
Myles Jack 20000
Gregory Rousseau 20000
Marcus Davenport 20000
Cameron Jordan 20000
Jalen Carter 20000
Alim McNeill 20000


Podcast Transcription

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