New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears - NFL - Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Chicago Bears (2-4) take a three-game losing streak into a matchup against the New England Patriots (3-3) on Monday, October 24, 2022 at Gillette Stadium. New England is a 7.5-point favorite in the game. This matchup has an over/under of 39.5 points.

Patriots vs. Bears Predictions

Patriots vs. Bears Odds

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Patriots and Bears: Last Three Games

The Patriots are a perfect 3-0 against the spread in their last three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.
Twice in those three games, the final combined score has gone over the set total.
The past three Patriots games averaged four more points (43.5) than this matchup’s over/under.
The Bears are 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 overall over their last three games.
The final combined score of the last three Bears games exceeded the set total one time.
The past three Bears games averaged 0.8 more points (40.3) than this matchup’s point total.

Patriots and Bears: Betting Trends

The Patriots have covered the spread in a game three times this season (3-2-1).
This season, Patriots games have hit the over three times.
The Patriots have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.
The Patriots have yet to play as a moneyline favorite of -361 or shorter.
The Patriots have a 78.3% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
The Bears are 2-3-1 against the spread this season.
The Bears have an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
This year, Bears games have hit the over twice.
This season, the Bears have been the underdog five times and won one of those games.
The Bears have been at least a +284 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.

Over/Under Trends

This season, Patriots games have gone over this matchup’s 39.5-point total three times.
This season, two Bears games have finished with more combined scoring than Monday’s over/under of 39.5.
Together, the two teams combine for 39 points per game, 0.5 points fewer than the total of 39.5 for this contest.
The 38.5 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are one fewer than the 39.5 total in this contest.
This season, the average total for Patriots games is 43.7 points, 4.2 more than the over/under of 39.5 points for this contest.
Bears’ games have a total points bet of 40 points this season, 0.5 points more than the over/under for this matchup.

Patriots Players to Watch

Rhamondre Stevenson is the No. 40 fantasy player overall and the No. 12 fantasy RB with 71.4 points (averaging 11.9 per game).
Damien Harris has put up 46.7 fantasy points this year (9.3 per game), enough to rank him 87th overall and 27th among RBs in league-wide fantasy standings.
So far this season, Jakobi Meyers averages 9.7 fantasy points per game on the way to 38.8 total fantasy points. That makes him the 111th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 37th-ranked WR.
Mac Jones is the 115th-ranked fantasy player — and the 32nd-ranked QB — with 37.1 fantasy points. He averages 12.4 fantasy points per game.

Bears Players to Watch

So far this season, Justin Fields is the No. 38 fantasy player overall and the No. 22 fantasy QB. He’s scored 73 points and is averaging 12.2 per game.
Khalil Herbert has collected total 62 fantasy points this year (10.3 per game), which make him the 17th-ranked RB and the 56th-ranked player overall.
David Montgomery averages 8.4 fantasy points per game on the way to 41.9 total fantasy points. That makes him the 102nd-ranked fantasy player overall and the 34th-ranked RB.
Dante Pettis is the 170th-ranked fantasy player — and the 65th-ranked WR — with 25.5 fantasy points (4.3 per game).