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Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs – NFL – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The top teams from opposing divisions meet when the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills (4-1) hit the field as a 3-point favorite against the AFC West-leading Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) on Sunday, October 16, 2022 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The game has a point total set at 54.

Bills vs. Chiefs Predictions

Bills vs. Chiefs Odds

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Bills and Chiefs: Last Three Games

  • The Bills are 1-2 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those matchups.
  • The Bills and their opponents did not hit the over in any of those games.
  • The past three Bills games averaged 4.2 fewer points (49.8) than this matchup’s point total.
  • The Chiefs have covered the spread once in their past three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
  • The final combined score of the past three Chiefs games has gone over the set total two times.
  • The past three Chiefs games averaged 4.2 fewer points (49.8) than this matchup’s point total.

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Bills and Chiefs: Betting Trends

  • The Bills have registered a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills are 2-2 ATS when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
  • Games involving the Bills have hit the over once this season.
  • The Bills are 4-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 80% of those games).
  • The Bills are 3-1 (winning 75% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -147 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Bills’ implied win probability is 59.5%.
  • The Chiefs have covered the spread twice in five games with a set spread.
  • Chiefs games have gone over the total three times this season.
  • The Chiefs won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season.
  • The Chiefs have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +124.

Over/Under Trends

  • None of the Bills’ games this season have finished with a higher combined score than Sunday’s over/under of 54 points.
  • This season, three Chiefs games have ended with a score higher than 54 points.
  • The Bills average 30.4 points per game against the Chiefs’ 31.8, totaling 8.2 points over the game’s total of 54.
  • The 37.2 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 16.8 fewer than the 54 over/under in this contest.
  • The Bills have seen a 49.8 average over/under in their games this season, 4.2 points fewer than the over/under in this contest.
  • The over/under for this matchup is 2.8 points more than the average over/under in Chiefs’ games this season (51.2 points).

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Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen is the best fantasy player overall with 146.5 fantasy points (29.3 per game).
  • Stefon Diggs has racked up 80.8 fantasy points this year (16.2 per game), good enough to place him 18th overall and second among WRs in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • Gabriel Davis is 66th overall and 15th among WRs with 48.9 fantasy points (averaging 12.2 per game) so far this season.
  • Devin Singletary is working on the 105th-ranked fantasy season (34th among RBs) with 35.6 fantasy points, averaging 7.1 per game.

Chiefs Players to Watch

  • So far this season, Patrick Mahomes II is the fourth-best fantasy player overall this season and the fourth-best fantasy QB with 123.1 fantasy points (24.6 per game).
  • Travis Kelce has totaled 76.8 fantasy points this year (15.4 per game), good enough to place him first among TEs and 22nd overall in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire is eighth among RBs and 34th overall with 66 fantasy points (averaging 13.2 per game) so far this season.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s fantasy season so far has him ranked 53rd among WRs and 144th overall with 25.5 points (5.1 per game).

Where To Watch Bills vs. Chiefs

*Confirm FuboTV’s schedule of programming for exact games available

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