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New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – NFL – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) are just 1.5-point underdogs against the New England Patriots (0-1) on Sunday, September 18, 2022. This matchup has an over/under of 40.5 points.

Patriots vs. Steelers Predictions

Patriots vs. Steelers Odds

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Patriots and Steelers: Betting Trends

  • The Patriots were 10-7-0 against the spread last season.
  • The Patriots had an ATS record of 7-4 as 1.5-point favorites or greater last year.
  • The Patriots had nine of its 17 games hit the over last season.
  • The Patriots were the moneyline favorite 12 total times last season. They went 8-4 in those games.
  • The Patriots went 8-3 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter (72.7%).
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Patriots have an implied win probability of 53.5%.
  • Steelers posted a 8-9-0 record against the spread last year.
  • Against the spread, as underdogs of 1.5 points or more, the Steelers went 6-4 last year.
  • The Steelers had six of its 17 games go over the point total last year.
  • Last season, the Steelers won five out of the 10 games in which they were the underdog.
  • The Steelers had a record of 5-5 in games where oddsmakers had them as underdogs of at least -105 on the moneyline.

Over/Under Trends

  • Patriots games had more than 40.5 points scored on 11 occasions last year.
  • Last season, nine Steelers games featured more than 40.5 points scored.
  • These two teams scored a combined average of 47.4 points per game last season, higher than the total for this matchup by 6.9 points.
  • These two teams allowed a combined 41.2 points per game a year ago, 0.7 higher than the total for this matchup.
  • The point total average for Patriots games last season was 44.1, 3.6 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The average total for Steelers games last season was 43.5 points, three more than this game’s over/under.

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Patriots Players to Watch

  • Mac Jones ended the season 24th overall among all players and 18th among all QBs in 2021 with 224.9 fantasy points (13.2 per game).
  • Damien Harris racked up 192.1 fantasy points a season ago (12.8 per game), good enough to place him 37th overall and eighth among RBs in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • Last year, Kendrick Bourne finished 89th overall and 29th among WRs after scoring 125.5 fantasy points (averaging 7.4 per game).
  • Hunter Henry was the 104th-ranked fantasy player — and the seventh-ranked TE — in 2021 with 114.3 fantasy points. He averaged 6.7 fantasy points per game.

Steelers Players to Watch

  • Najee Harris’ stellar 2021 fantasy campaign saw him rack up 226.7 fantasy points (13.3 per game) and finish 23rd overall among all players and fourth among all RBs.
  • Diontae Johnson placed 58th overall and 12th among WRs in league-wide fantasy standings last season after finishing with 165.4 fantasy points (10.3 per game).
  • Last year, Chase Claypool’s 107.6 total fantasy points made him the No. 36 WR and the No. 110 fantasy player overall after he averaged 7.2 fantasy points per game.
  • Pat Freiermuth was 13th among TEs and 142nd overall last season in the fantasy standings. He scored 89.7 fantasy points (5.6 per game).

Where To Watch Patriots vs. Steelers

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