New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins – MLB – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The New York Mets (42-23) and Miami Marlins (28-33) square off on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, beginning a four-game series at Citi Field.

The Mets are the home favorite (-196) versus the Marlins (+168). The New York Mets will give the start to Carlos Carrasco (7-2), but the Marlins’ starter has not been announced yet. The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.

Mets vs. Marlins Predictions

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Odds

Mets vs. Marlins Last 10 Games Betting Performance


  • New York was the moneyline favorite in four of its last 10 games, and finished 3-1 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • New York has put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over its past 10 games.


  • In seven games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, Miami has a record of 3-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • Miami is 6-4-0 ATS over its last 10 games.

Mets vs. Marlins Starting Pitcher Betting Trends

Projected starter: Carlos Carrasco

  • The Mets are 7-5-0 ATS in Carrasco’s 12 starts that had a set spread.
  • The Mets have been the moneyline favorite in 11 of Carrasco’s starts this season, and they went 6-5 in those games.
  • Carrasco’s team has a 7-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Carrasco has had 12 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those games hit the over.

Mets Batting Leaders

  • Pete Alonso leads the Mets in home runs (18) and runs batted in (59).
  • Alonso’s home runs rank second in MLB and he ranks second in RBI in MLB.
  • Francisco Lindor has nine doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks while batting .242.
  • Lindor ranks 48th in homers and seventh in RBI this year.
  • Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with a team-high batting average of .324.
  • McNeil has hit safely in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .279 with 11 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 10 walks.
  • Marte heads into this game on a three-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with a double, two walks and an RBI.

Marlins Batting Leaders

  • Jazz Chisholm leads Miami in home runs with 13 and runs batted in with 41.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Chisholm is 17th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
  • Jorge Soler has 47 hits and an OBP of .306 to go with a slugging percentage of .438 this season.
  • Soler is 25th in home runs and 75th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Garrett Cooper leads Miami with a .311 batting average while slugging four homers and driving in 28 runs.
  • Cooper has safely hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
  • Jesus Aguilar is batting .247 with an OBP of .299 and a slugging percentage of .420 this season.
  • Aguilar heads into this game on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI.

Where To Watch Mets vs. Marlins

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