Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – MLB – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Atlanta Braves (30-27) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (24-30) to open a four-game series at Truist Park, with first pitch at 7:20 PM ET on Thursday. The Braves are on the back of a series victory over the Athletics, and the Pirates a series loss to the Tigers.

The Braves are heavily favored at home (-275) against the Pirates (+226). The starting pitchers are Max Fried (5-2) for the Atlanta Braves, and JT Brubaker (0-5) for the Pittsburgh Pirates. The game’s total is set at 8.

Braves vs. Pirates Predictions

Braves vs. Pirates Betting Odds

Braves vs. Pirates Last 10 Games Betting Performance


  • Atlanta was the moneyline favorite for each of its last 10 games, and went 8-2 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • Atlanta is 6-4-0 against the spread over its past 10 games.


  • In seven games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, Pittsburgh has a record of 5-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 5-5-0 ATS over its last 10 games.

Braves vs. Pirates Starting Pitcher Betting Trends

Projected starter: Max Fried

  • The Braves have gone 7-4-0 against the spread when Fried starts.
  • The Braves have a 4-3 record in Fried’s seven starts this season when they were favored on the moneyline.
  • In Fried’s 11 starts, his team is 7-4.
  • Fried has started 11 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.

Projected starter: JT Brubaker

  • Brubaker and his team are 4-7-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • His team has won 42.9% of his starts when they are underdogs on the moneyline (3-4).
  • Brubaker’s team has a 5-6 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Brubaker has started this season, the teams are 5-6-0 at hitting the over.

Braves Batting Leaders

  • Austin Riley paces the Braves with 15 home runs and 34 runs batted in.
  • In MLB, Riley ranks fifth in homers and 19th in RBI.
  • Matt Olson is batting .258 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 35 walks.
  • Olson currently ranks 56th in homers and 45th in RBI in the majors.
  • Olson takes a six-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .318 with six doubles, two home runs, three walks and 13 RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .248 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 13 walks.
  • Albies takes a four-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double, a home run and six RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson has a club-leading .273 batting average.
  • Swanson enters this matchup on a three-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double and three walks.

Pirates Batting Leaders

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .285 with 20 RBI, both of which are best among Pittsburgh hitters this season.
  • Hayes’ home run total ranks 247th in MLB, and he is 132nd in RBI.
  • Bryan Reynolds is slugging .387 this season, with a team-best eight homers while driving in 14 runs.
  • Reynolds ranks 48th among hitters in MLB in home runs, and 208th in RBI.
  • Michael Chavis has collected 37 base hits, an OBP of .309 and a slugging percentage of .453 this season.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has 30 hits and an OBP of .324 to go with a slugging percentage of .433 this season.

Where To Watch Braves vs. Pirates

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