Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat – Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Miami Heat are 9-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Friday, starting at 8:30 PM ET. The Celtics hold a 3-2 series lead. The matchup has an over/under set at 200.5 points.

Celtics vs. Heat Predictions

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Odds

Celtics vs. Heat Last 10 Games

  • Boston has a 7-3 record straight-up in its last 10 contests, while covering the spread six times in those games.
  • Boston’s past 10 games saw three hit the over.
  • The Celtics’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 206.9 points scored. That’s 6.4 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • In the last 10 games, the Celtics are scoring 4.5 points less per game compared to their season average.
  • Miami is 5-5 overall and 4-5-0 against the spread over its past 10 contests.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in four of the past 10 games.
  • The last 10 Heat games averaged 206.4 total points, 5.9 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Heat have a 101.7 points-per-game average, 8.3 points below their season-long scoring average.

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Trends

  • Boston is 56-41-3 against the spread this season.
  • The Celtics are 8-10 ATS when playing as at least 9-point favorites.
  • This season, 48 of Boston’s games have gone over the point total out of 102 chances.
  • The Celtics are shooting 46.6% from the field this season, 1.9 percentage points higher than the 44.7% the Heat allow to opponents.
  • Boston has a 33-14-2 record against the spread and a 40-9 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 44.7% from the field.
  • Miami has covered the spread in a matchup 58 times this year (58-42-1).
  • The Heat have a perfect 2-0 ATS record when playing as at least 9-point underdogs.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total 53 times out of 102 chances this season.
  • The Heat’s 46.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.3 percentage points higher than the Celtics have allowed to their opponents (43.4%).
  • Miami has compiled a 43-19 record against the spread and a 47-14 straight up record in games it shoots over 43.4% from the field.

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Celtics vs. Heat Over/Under Trends

  • Boston and its opponents have hit the over on this game’s total (200.5 points) 75 times this season.
  • A total of 79 of Miami’s games finished with a combined score higher than 200.5 points this season.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 221.8 points per game, 21.3 points more than the over/under of 200.5 for this game.
  • The 210.1 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 9.6 more than the 200.5 over/under in this contest.
  • The Celtics have seen a 215.4 average over/under in their games this season, 14.9 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The over/under for this game is 13.3 points fewer than the average over/under in Heat’s games this season (213.8 points).

Celtics Team Leaders

  • Jayson Tatum: 26.9 PTS, 8.0 REB, 45.3 FG%, 35.3 3PT% (230-for-651)
  • Jaylen Brown: 23.6 PTS, 1.1 STL, 47.3 FG%, 35.8 3PT% (166-for-464)
  • Marcus Smart: 12.1 PTS, 5.9 AST, 1.7 STL, 41.8 FG%, 33.1 3PT% (119-for-360)
  • Al Horford: 10.2 PTS, 7.7 REB, 1.3 BLK, 46.7 FG%, 33.6 3PT% (89-for-265)
  • Robert Williams III: 10.0 PTS, 9.6 REB, 2.2 BLK, 73.6 FG%

Heat Team Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler: 21.4 PTS, 5.5 AST, 1.6 STL, 48.0 FG%, 23.3 3PT% (27-for-116)
  • Bam Adebayo: 19.1 PTS, 10.1 REB, 1.4 STL, 55.7 FG%
  • Duncan Robinson: 10.9 PTS, 39.9 FG%, 37.2 3PT% (232-for-624)
  • PJ Tucker: 7.6 PTS, 48.4 FG%, 41.5 3PT% (80-for-193)
  • Max Strus: 10.6 PTS, 44.1 FG%, 41.0 3PT% (181-for-442)

Where To Watch Celtics vs. Heat

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