Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat – Eastern Conference Finals Game 4 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Miami Heat are 7-point underdogs heading into Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Monday, starting at 8:30 PM ET. The Heat lead the series 2-1. The matchup has an over/under of 208.5.

Celtics vs. Heat Predictions

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Odds

Celtics vs Heat Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Celtics -7 208.5 points

Celtics vs. Heat Last 10 Games

  • Boston covered the spread five times in its last 10 contests while putting up a 6-4 record straight-up in those games.
  • Boston’s last 10 outings saw five go over the total.
  • The past 10 Celtics games averaged 0.4 more points (208.9) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • In their past 10 games, the Celtics have a points-per-game average 1.7 points below their season-long scoring average.
  • Miami has a 7-3 record straight-up in its last 10 matchups, while covering the spread six times in those games.
  • The final scores of the past 10 Miami games have surpassed the set total five times.
  • The past 10 Heat games averaged 1.3 fewer points (207.2) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • During their past 10 games, the Heat have scored 0.7 fewer points per contest compared to their 110.0 PPG season-long scoring average.

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Trends

  • Boston has registered a 54-41-3 record against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as 7-point favorites or more, the Celtics have an ATS record of 13-15.
  • Boston games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 48 times out of 100 chances this season.
  • This season, the Celtics have a 46.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.9% higher than the 44.7% of shots the Heat’s opponents have hit.
  • Boston has a 33-14-2 record against the spread and a 40-9 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 44.7% from the field.
  • Miami has covered the spread 58 times this season (58-40-1).
  • In games they have played as 7-point underdogs or more, the Heat have a perfect ATS record of 4-0.
  • This year, Miami’s games have hit the over 53 times out of 100 chances.
  • The Heat’s 46.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.3 percentage points higher than the Celtics have allowed to their opponents (43.4%).
  • Miami has put together a 43-19 record against the spread and a 47-14 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 43.4% from the field.

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Celtics vs. Heat Over/Under Trends

  • This season, 64 of Boston’s 100 games have gone over Monday’s over/under of 208.5 points.
  • In Miami’s 100 games this season, 64 have finished with more combined scoring than Monday’s over/under of 208.5.
  • The Celtics average 111.8 points per game against the Heat’s 110.0, totaling 13.3 points over the game’s total of 208.5.
  • This game’s point total is 1.6 fewer points than the 210.1 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020.
  • The Celtics have seen a 215.7 average over/under in their games this season, 7.2 points more than the over/under in this contest.
  • A difference of 5.5 points separates the average total points bet in Heat’s games (214.0 points) and this game’s over/under (208.5 points).

Celtics Team Leaders

  • Jayson Tatum: 26.9 PTS, 8.0 REB, 45.3 FG%, 35.3 3PT% (230-for-651)
  • Jaylen Brown: 23.6 PTS, 1.1 STL, 47.3 FG%, 35.8 3PT% (166-for-464)
  • Marcus Smart: 12.1 PTS, 5.9 AST, 1.7 STL, 41.8 FG%, 33.1 3PT% (119-for-360)
  • Al Horford: 10.2 PTS, 7.7 REB, 1.3 BLK, 46.7 FG%, 33.6 3PT% (89-for-265)
  • Robert Williams III: 10.0 PTS, 9.6 REB, 2.2 BLK, 73.6 FG%

Heat Team Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler: 21.4 PTS, 5.5 AST, 1.6 STL, 48.0 FG%, 23.3 3PT% (27-for-116)
  • Bam Adebayo: 19.1 PTS, 10.1 REB, 1.4 STL, 55.7 FG%
  • Duncan Robinson: 10.9 PTS, 39.9 FG%, 37.2 3PT% (232-for-624)
  • PJ Tucker: 7.6 PTS, 48.4 FG%, 41.5 3PT% (80-for-193)
  • Max Strus: 10.6 PTS, 44.1 FG%, 41.0 3PT% (181-for-442)

Where To Watch Celtics vs. Heat

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