Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat – Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 4 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Philadelphia 76ers are 2-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat at Wells Fargo Center on Sunday, starting at 8:00 PM ET. The Heat lead the series 2-1. The matchup has an over/under of 206.5 points.

76ers vs. Heat Predictions

76ers vs. Heat Betting Odds

76ers vs Heat Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
76ers -2 206.5 points

76ers vs. Heat Last 10 Games

  • Philadelphia covered the spread three times in its past 10 contests while putting up a 3-7 record straight-up in those games.
  • Two times in those 10 games, the final combined score has exceeded the set total.
  • The 76ers’ past 10 games have ended with an average of 210.8 points scored. That’s 4.3 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • The 76ers’ per-game scoring average over their last 10 games is 9.6 points lower than their season-long average.
  • Miami is 8-2 overall and 7-3-0 against the spread in its past 10 games.
  • The Heat and their opponents have hit the over in one of those games.
  • The last 10 Heat games averaged 215.2 total points, 8.7 more points than this matchup’s point total.
  • The Heat’s per-game scoring average across their past 10 games is 107.6, 2.4 points lower than their season-long per-game average.

76ers vs. Heat Betting Trends

  • Philadelphia is 43-50-1 against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as 2-point favorites or more, the 76ers have an ATS record of 27-30.
  • This season, Philadelphia’s games have hit the over 42 times out of 94 chances.
  • The 76ers are shooting 46.6% from the field this season, 1.9 percentage points higher than the 44.7% the Heat allow to opponents.
  • Philadelphia is 34-18-1 against the spread and 43-10 overall when it shoots better than 44.7% from the field.
  • Miami has covered the spread 54 times this year (54-38-1).
  • The Heat have an ATS record of 15-4 when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.
  • This year, Miami’s games have hit the over 49 times out of 93 chances.
  • The Heat have shot at a 46.7% rate from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points higher than the 45.8% shooting opponents of the 76ers have averaged.
  • Miami has compiled a 37-13 record against the spread and a 42-7 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 45.8% from the field.


76ers vs. Heat Over/Under Trends

  • This season, Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to outscore Sunday’s total of 206.5 points 67 times.
  • There have been 63 Miami games that have ended with a combined score over 206.5 points this season.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 219.9 points per game, 13.4 points more than the point total of 206.5 for this game.
  • This matchup’s total is 6.4 fewer points than the 212.9 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020.
  • This season, the average total for 76ers games is 216.9 points, 10.4 more than the over/under of 206.5 points for this contest.
  • Heat’s games have a total points bet of 214.5 points this season, 8.0 points more than the over/under for this game.

76ers Team Leaders

  • Joel Embiid: 30.6 PTS, 11.7 REB, 1.1 STL, 1.5 BLK, 49.9 FG%, 37.1 3PT% (93-for-251)
  • Tobias Harris: 17.2 PTS, 48.2 FG%, 36.7 3PT% (101-for-275)
  • Tyrese Maxey: 17.5 PTS, 48.5 FG%, 42.7 3PT% (132-for-309)
  • Georges Niang: 9.2 PTS, 43.7 FG%, 40.3 3PT% (156-for-387)
  • Matisse Thybulle: 5.7 PTS, 1.7 STL, 1.1 BLK, 50.0 FG%, 31.3 3PT% (45-for-144)

Heat Team Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler: 21.4 PTS, 5.5 AST, 1.6 STL, 48.0 FG%, 23.3 3PT% (27-for-116)
  • Bam Adebayo: 19.1 PTS, 10.1 REB, 1.4 STL, 55.7 FG%
  • Duncan Robinson: 10.9 PTS, 39.9 FG%, 37.2 3PT% (232-for-624)
  • PJ Tucker: 7.6 PTS, 48.4 FG%, 41.5 3PT% (80-for-193)
  • Max Strus: 10.6 PTS, 44.1 FG%, 41.0 3PT% (181-for-442)

Where To Watch 76ers vs. Heat

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