Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – NHL Playoffs First Round Game 3 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Amalie Arena features the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Toronto Maple Leafs meeting at 7:30 PM on Friday, May 6 ET. The series is tied 1-1. Oddsmakers list the Maple Leafs as underdogs in this matchup, assigning them -104 moneyline odds against the Lightning (-117).

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Predictions

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Odds

Lightning vs Maple Leafs Betting Information
Favorite Moneyline Total
Lightning -117 6.5

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have won 67.6% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (48-23).
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -117 or shorter, Tampa Bay has put together a 46-22 record (winning 67.6% of its games).
  • Based on the moneyline in this matchup, the Lightning’s implied win probability is 53.9%.
  • The Lightning’s 285 total goals (3.5 per game) rank seventh in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have conceded 228 total goals (2.8 per game), the sixth-fewest in NHL action.
  • The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in 10 games this season, with four upset wins (40.0%).
  • Toronto has a record of 4-6 in games when bookmakers list them -104 or longer on the moneyline.
  • With 312 goals (3.8 per game), the Maple Leafs have the league’s second-best offense.
  • The Maple Leafs’ total of 252 goals allowed (3.1 per game) is 19th in the NHL.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Over/Under Trends

  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than Friday’s total of 6.5 goals 39 times this season.
  • A total of 49 of Toronto’s games have finished with more than 6.5 goals this season.
  • The Lightning score 3.48 goals per game, compared to the Maple Leafs’ average of 3.8, adding up to 0.8 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 6.5.
  • The 5.8 goals per game these two teams allow are 0.6 less than the over/under set for this contest.

Lightning Team Leaders

  • Steven Stamkos: 42 goals and 64 assists
  • Victor Hedman: 20 goals and 66 assists
  • Nikita Kucherov: 25 goals and 44 assists
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy: 39-18-5 record, .916 save percentage, 156 goals conceded

Maple Leafs Team Leaders

  • Auston Matthews: 60 goals and 46 assists
  • Mitchell Marner: 35 goals and 62 assists
  • William Nylander: 34 goals and 46 assists
  • Jack Campbell: 31-9-6 record, .914 save percentage, 123 goals allowed

Where To Watch Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

*Confirm FuboTV’s schedule of programming for exact games available

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