Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers – Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 1 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Miami Heat are 4.5-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Philadelphia 76ers at FTX Arena on Monday, starting at 7:30 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 210.5.

Heat vs. 76ers Predictions

Heat vs. 76ers Betting Odds

Heat vs 76ers Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Heat -4.5 210.5 points

Heat vs. 76ers Last 10 Games

  • Miami has a 8-2 record straight-up in its last 10 contests, while covering the spread seven times in those games.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in four of those 10 games.
  • The last 10 Heat games averaged 220.5 total points, 10.0 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Heat have a points-per-game average 5.6 points above their season-long scoring average.
  • Philadelphia has a 6-4 record straight-up in its past 10 matchups, while covering the spread five times in those games.
  • Philadelphia’s past 10 outings saw five hit the over.
  • The past 10 76ers games averaged 6.6 more points (217.1) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • During the last 10 games, the 76ers are scoring 112.2 points per game compared to their 109.9 season average.

Heat vs. 76ers Betting Trends

  • Miami has covered the spread 50 times over 88 games with a set spread.
  • The Heat have an ATS record of 23-19 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
  • Miami games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 48 times out of 88 chances this season.
  • This season, the Heat have a 46.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.9% higher than the 45.8% of shots the 76ers’ opponents have hit.
  • In games Miami shoots better than 45.8% from the field, it is 37-13 against the spread and 42-7 overall.
  • Philadelphia has covered the spread 42 times over 89 games with a set spread.
  • In games they were an underdog in by 4.5 points or more so far this season, the 76ers have gone 6-4-1 against the spread.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total 41 times out of 89 chances this season.
  • The 76ers’ 46.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.9 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (44.7%).
  • Philadelphia is 34-18-1 against the spread and 43-10 overall when it shoots better than 44.7% from the field.

Heat vs. 76ers Over/Under Trends

  • Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Monday’s total of 210.5 points 54 times this season.
  • This season, 59 of Philadelphia’s games have ended with a score higher than 210.5 points.
  • The Heat average 110.0 points per game against the 76ers’ 109.9, totaling 9.4 points over the matchup’s total of 210.5.
  • This game’s over/under is 2.4 fewer points than the 212.9 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020.
  • The Heat have seen a 214.7 average over/under in their games this season, 4.2 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 6.8 points separates the average total points bet in 76ers’ games (217.3 points) and this matchup’s over/under (210.5 points).

Heat Team Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler: 21.4 PTS, 5.5 AST, 1.6 STL, 48.0 FG%, 23.3 3PT% (27-for-116)
  • Bam Adebayo: 19.1 PTS, 10.1 REB, 1.4 STL, 55.7 FG%
  • Tyler Herro: 20.7 PTS, 44.7 FG%, 39.9 3PT% (175-for-439)
  • Kyle Lowry: 13.4 PTS, 7.5 AST, 1.1 STL, 44.0 FG%, 37.7 3PT% (144-for-382)
  • Duncan Robinson: 10.9 PTS, 39.9 FG%, 37.2 3PT% (232-for-624)

76ers Team Leaders

  • Joel Embiid: 30.6 PTS, 11.7 REB, 1.1 STL, 1.5 BLK, 49.9 FG%, 37.1 3PT% (93-for-251)
  • Tobias Harris: 17.2 PTS, 48.2 FG%, 36.7 3PT% (101-for-275)
  • Tyrese Maxey: 17.5 PTS, 48.5 FG%, 42.7 3PT% (132-for-309)
  • Georges Niang: 9.2 PTS, 43.7 FG%, 40.3 3PT% (156-for-387)
  • Matisse Thybulle: 5.7 PTS, 1.7 STL, 1.1 BLK, 50.0 FG%, 31.3 3PT% (45-for-144)

Where To Watch Heat vs. 76ers

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