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Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks – NBA Playoffs Game 5 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Miami Heat are 7-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at FTX Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET. The Heat have a 3-1 lead in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 217.5.

Heat vs. Hawks Predictions

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Odds

Heat vs Hawks Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Heat -7 217.5 points

Heat vs. Hawks Last 10 Games

  • Miami has a 8-2 record straight-up in its past 10 matchups, while covering the spread eight times in those games.
  • The final score of the past 10 Miami games has gone over the set total four times.
  • The last 10 Heat games averaged 220.3 total points, 2.8 more points than this matchup’s point total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Heat have a points-per-game average 6.5 points above their season-long scoring average.
  • Atlanta is 5-5 overall and 5-5-0 against the spread over its past 10 games.
  • Two times in those 10 games, the final combined score has gone over the set total.
  • The last 10 Hawks games averaged 229.0 total points, 11.5 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • The Hawks’ per-game scoring average during their last 10 games is 111.1, 2.8 points lower than their season-long per-game average.

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Trends

  • Miami has covered the spread 50 times over 87 games with a set spread.
  • The Heat have an ATS record of 9-14 when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
  • Miami games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 48 times out of 87 chances this season.
  • This season, the Heat have a 46.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.4% lower than the 47.1% of shots the Hawks’ opponents have hit.
  • Miami has a 33-9 record against the spread and a 36-5 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 47.1% from the field.
  • Atlanta has compiled a 38-48-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as 7-point underdogs or more, the Hawks have an ATS record of 1-4.
  • This year, Atlanta’s games have hit the over 43 times out of 86 chances.
  • The Hawks are shooting 47.0% from the field, 2.3% higher than the 44.7% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.
  • Atlanta has compiled a 33-23 record against the spread and a 36-20 straight up record in games it shoots better than 44.7% from the field.


Heat vs. Hawks Over/Under Trends

  • Miami and its opponents have combined to go over Tuesday’s over/under of 217.5 points 41 times this season.
  • In Atlanta’s 86 games this season, 60 have finished with more combined scoring than Tuesday’s point total of 217.5.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 223.9 points per game, 6.4 points more than the total of 217.5 for this matchup.
  • These two teams surrender a combined 218 points per game, 0.5 more than this contest’s over/under.
  • On average, the over/under in Heat games is 2.8 points fewer than the over/under of 217.5 points in this contest.
  • The over/under for this contest is 7.1 points fewer than the average over/under in Hawks’ games this season (224.6 points).

Heat Team Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler: 21.4 PTS, 5.5 AST, 1.6 STL, 48.0 FG%, 23.3 3PT% (27-for-116)
  • Bam Adebayo: 19.1 PTS, 10.1 REB, 1.4 STL, 55.7 FG%
  • Tyler Herro: 20.7 PTS, 44.7 FG%, 39.9 3PT% (175-for-439)
  • Kyle Lowry: 13.4 PTS, 7.5 AST, 1.1 STL, 44.0 FG%, 37.7 3PT% (144-for-382)
  • Duncan Robinson: 10.9 PTS, 39.9 FG%, 37.2 3PT% (232-for-624)

Hawks Team Leaders

  • Trae Young: 28.4 PTS, 9.7 AST, 46.0 FG%, 38.2 3PT% (233-for-610)
  • Clint Capela: 11.1 PTS, 11.9 REB, 1.3 BLK, 61.3 FG%
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic: 15.1 PTS, 1.1 STL, 43.1 FG%, 36.8 3PT% (169-for-459)
  • Kevin Huerter: 12.1 PTS, 45.4 FG%, 38.9 3PT% (160-for-411)
  • Danilo Gallinari: 11.7 PTS, 43.4 FG%, 38.1 3PT% (112-for-294)

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