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Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks – NBA Playoffs Game 4 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Miami Heat are 1.5-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET. The Heat have a 2-1 lead in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 221.

Heat vs. Hawks Predictions

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Odds

Heat vs Hawks Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Heat -1.5 221 points

Heat vs. Hawks Last 10 Games

  • Miami has a 8-2 record straight-up in its past 10 matchups, while covering the spread eight times in those games.
  • The final score of the last 10 Miami games has surpassed the set total five times.
  • The past 10 Heat games averaged 1.0 fewer point (220.0) than this matchup’s point total.
  • Over the last 10 games, the Heat are scoring 7.8 points more per game compared to their season average.
  • Atlanta is 6-4 overall and 6-4-0 against the spread over its last 10 contests.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have combined to hit the over in three of the past 10 games.
  • The past 10 Hawks games averaged 8.9 more points (229.9) than this matchup’s point total.
  • During their past 10 games, the Hawks have a 116.1 points-per-game average, 2.2 points above their season-long scoring average.

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Trends

  • Miami has put together a record of 49-36-1 against the spread this season.
  • In games they were favored in by 1.5 points or more so far this season, the Heat went 31-29-1 against the spread.
  • Miami games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 48 times out of 86 chances this season.
  • The Heat make 46.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.4 percentage points lower than the Hawks have allowed to their opponents (47.1%).
  • Miami has a 33-9 record against the spread and a 36-5 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 47.1% from the field.
  • Atlanta has covered the spread 38 times over 85 games with a set spread.
  • In games they have played as 1.5-point underdogs or more, the Hawks have an ATS record of 12-22.
  • This season, Atlanta’s games have hit the over 43 times out of 85 chances.
  • The Hawks have shot at a 47.0% clip from the field this season, 2.3 percentage points above the 44.7% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
  • Atlanta is 33-23 against the spread and 36-20 overall when it shoots higher than 44.7% from the field.


Heat vs. Hawks Over/Under Trends

  • This season, 34 of Miami’s 86 games have gone over Sunday’s over/under of 221 points.
  • There have been 53 Atlanta games that have ended with a combined score higher than 221 points this season.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 223.9 points per game, 2.9 points more than the point total of 221 for this matchup.
  • These two teams give up a combined 218 points per game, 3.0 points less than this contest’s over/under.
  • The Heat have seen a 214.6 average over/under in their games this season, 6.4 points fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 3.6 points separates the average total points bet in Hawks’ games (224.6 points) and this matchup’s over/under (221 points).

Heat Team Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler: 21.4 PTS, 5.5 AST, 1.6 STL, 48.0 FG%, 23.3 3PT% (27-for-116)
  • Bam Adebayo: 19.1 PTS, 10.1 REB, 1.4 STL, 55.7 FG%
  • Tyler Herro: 20.7 PTS, 44.7 FG%, 39.9 3PT% (175-for-439)
  • Kyle Lowry: 13.4 PTS, 7.5 AST, 1.1 STL, 44.0 FG%, 37.7 3PT% (144-for-382)
  • Duncan Robinson: 10.9 PTS, 39.9 FG%, 37.2 3PT% (232-for-624)

Hawks Team Leaders

  • Trae Young: 28.4 PTS, 9.7 AST, 46.0 FG%, 38.2 3PT% (233-for-610)
  • Clint Capela: 11.1 PTS, 11.9 REB, 1.3 BLK, 61.3 FG%
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic: 15.1 PTS, 1.1 STL, 43.1 FG%, 36.8 3PT% (169-for-459)
  • Kevin Huerter: 12.1 PTS, 45.4 FG%, 38.9 3PT% (160-for-411)
  • Danilo Gallinari: 11.7 PTS, 43.4 FG%, 38.1 3PT% (112-for-294)

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