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Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets – NBA Playoffs Game 1 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Golden State Warriors are 5-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Chase Center on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 224 points.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Predictions

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

Warriors vs Nuggets Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Warriors -5 224 points

Warriors vs. Nuggets Last 10 Games

  • Golden State has a 6-4 record straight-up in its last 10 contests, while covering the spread six times in those games.
  • The final score of the last 10 Golden State games has surpassed the set total five times.
  • The past 10 Warriors games averaged 5.0 fewer points (219.0) than this matchup’s point total.
  • In the past 10 games, the Warriors are scoring 0.7 points more per game compared to their season average.
  • Denver is 6-4 overall and 4-6-0 against the spread in its last 10 games.
  • Denver and its opponents have combined to hit the over in six of the past 10 games.
  • The last 10 Nuggets games averaged 232.3 total points, 8.3 more points than this matchup’s point total.
  • In their past 10 games, the Nuggets have a 122.7 points-per-game average, 10.0 points above their season-long scoring average.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

  • Golden State has compiled a 41-38-3 record against the spread this season.
  • The Warriors have an ATS record of 23-20-2 when playing as at least 5-point favorites.
  • This season, Golden State’s games have hit the over 35 times.
  • The Warriors make 46.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.1 percentage points lower than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (47.0%).
  • In games Golden State shoots better than 47.0% from the field, it is 32-9-2 against the spread and 38-5 overall.
  • Denver is 36-45-1 against the spread this year.
  • In games this year when an underdog by 5 points or more, the Nuggets have gone 6-6-1 against the spread.
  • This season, 46 of Denver’s games have gone over the point total.
  • The Nuggets’ 48.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is 4.5 percentage points higher than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (43.8%).
  • This season, Denver has a 33-29 record against the spread and a 41-21 record overall in games the team collectively shoots over 43.8% from the field.


Warriors vs. Nuggets Over/Under Trends

  • This season, Golden State and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday’s over/under of 224 points 28 times.
  • This season, 41 of Denver’s games have finished with a combined score higher than 224 points.
  • The Warriors average 111.0 points per game against the Nuggets’ 112.7, totaling 0.3 points under the matchup’s point total of 224.
  • This matchup’s total is 8.1 fewer points than the 215.9 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020.
  • On average, the over/under in Warriors games is 3.7 points fewer than the over/under of 224 points in this matchup.
  • A difference of 2.9 points separates this matchup’s over/under (224 points) and the average total points bet in Nuggets’ games (221.1 points) this season.

Warriors Team Leaders

  • Stephen Curry: 25.5 PTS, 6.3 AST, 1.3 STL, 43.7 FG%, 38.0 3PT% (285-for-750)
  • Jordan Poole: 18.5 PTS, 44.8 FG%, 36.4 3PT% (211-for-580)
  • Andrew Wiggins: 17.2 PTS, 1.1 STL, 46.6 FG%, 39.3 3PT% (157-for-399)
  • Kevon Looney: 6.0 PTS, 7.3 REB, 57.1 FG%
  • Draymond Green: 7.5 PTS, 7.3 REB, 7.0 AST, 1.3 STL, 1.1 BLK, 52.5 FG%, 29.6 3PT% (16-for-54)

Nuggets Team Leaders

  • Nikola Jokic: 27.1 PTS, 13.8 REB, 7.9 AST, 1.5 STL, 58.3 FG%, 33.7 3PT% (97-for-288)
  • Aaron Gordon: 15.0 PTS, 52.0 FG%, 33.5 3PT% (87-for-260)
  • Will Barton: 14.7 PTS, 43.8 FG%, 36.5 3PT% (157-for-430)
  • Monte Morris: 12.6 PTS, 48.4 FG%, 39.5 3PT% (124-for-314)
  • Nah’Shon Hyland: 10.1 PTS, 40.3 FG%, 36.6 3PT% (131-for-358)

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