The early season game of the year between two of the hottest NBA teams tips off on Tuesday night between the #1 team in the Western Conference, the Golden State Warriors, visiting the hottest team in the NBA, the Phoenix Suns, who have won 16 games in a row! Something has to give tonight between these two teams. Tonight’s matchup could be an early-season preview of the Western Conference Finals. Below are my NBA betting picks for the Warriors vs Suns matchup and a few player props I like for the game!
Warriors vs Suns Game Information:
Location: Phoenix, Arizona – Footprint Center
Time: 10:00 p.m. Eastern Time (8:00 p.m. Pacific Time)
TV: TNT
Money Line: Warriors (+115) | Suns (-135)
Spread: Suns -2.5
Total: 222
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Warriors vs Suns Betting Picks
The Warriors and the Suns are the two best teams not only in the Western Conference but in the NBA thus far this season. The Warriors rank #2 in offensive efficiency and #1 in defensive efficiency. As for the Suns, they rank #5 in offensive efficiency and #3 in defensive efficiency. The question for tonight’s game will be which style of play are we going to see? Is it going to be more of a defensive game or are we going to see a shootout?
The Warriors right now have the better role players surrounding Steph Curry and Draymond Green. Jordan Poole and Andrew Wiggins will need to step up because I believe the Suns’ game plan will be to try to neutralize Curry and make someone else beat them.
On the flip side, Deandre Ayton is the player I am looking at to shine tonight for the Suns. I do not believe the Warriors have the size to defend Ayton. Yes, they have Kevon Looney but he does not have the quickness or athleticism to keep up with the Ayton.
ATS Stats
Despite being on a 16-game winning streak, the Suns have not been covering the spread. As the saying goes, “good teams win, great teams cover.” The Suns are 11-9 against the spread overall, and 5-5 ATS at home and as a home favorite. Meanwhile, the Warriors are the best team in the league covering the spread. In fact, the Warriors are 15-4-1 in all games against the spread, 6-2 against the spread on the road, and 2-0 as a road underdog. There is not much that separates these two teams. Both teams are top in efficiency for the season and over the last couple of weeks.
The Warriors look like the team that won the title and won 72 games and I cannot get away from that. The role players are playing at a high level and Curry is the MVP of the league so far.
Best Bet: Warriors +2.5
Warriors vs Suns Player Props Bets:
Jordan Poole Over 18.5 Points
This is going to be a game where Stephen Curry is going to need help scoring the basketball because the Suns will try to do everything to slow him down. So far this season, Jordan Poole is averaging 18.1 points per game. However, in his last two games against the Suns, Poole has scored 20 and 26 points respectively. I expect Poole to contribute in a big way in this game.
Devin Booker 23.5 Points
Devin Booker has been on fire for the Suns during their winning streak. In fact, over his last three games, Booker has scored 30 or more points in each of those games. If the Suns are going to win this game Booker will have to have a good night scoring the basketball and I believe he will be up for this game and poised to have a big night for the Suns.
Draymond Green Rebounds + Assists Over 15.5
We all know Draymond Green stuffs the stat sheet and is the catalyst of the offense for the Warriors. So far this season, Green is averaging 7.8 rebounds and assists per game. Furthermore, Green has exceeded this projection in three out of the last four games.
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