It is finally here! The biggest game of the year in the NFL. This year’s Super Bowl will be one for the ages. Brady and Mahomes, it does not get any better than this matchup! Super Bowl 55 will be officiated by Carl Cheffers. Cheffers has a lot of experience in the NFL Playoffs. In fact, in his career, Cheffers has officiated 15 postseason games including five wild card weekend games, six divisional playoff games, two conference championship games, and officiated Super Bowl 51.
In this post I will first dig deeper on Carl Cheffers officiated games with Tom Brady playing in since 2015. Then, I will break down the games officiated by Cheffers in the Patrick Mahomes Era. Lastly, I will give a full breakdown of the games Cheffers officiated this season.
Carl Cheffers officiated games in the Mahomes Era
Patrick Mahomes took over as the quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in 2018. Carl Cheffers has officiated five games in which Mahomes was the quarterback. The table below shows the results for those five games.
| Matchup | Result | Spread |
|---|---|---|
| Week 10 2018 Arizona Cardinals vs Kansas City Chiefs | Arizona Cardinals 14 Kansas City Chiefs 26 | Chiefs -16.5 |
| Week 1 2019 Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars | Kansas City Chiefs 40 Jacksonville Jaguars 26 | Chiefs -3.5 |
| Week 15 2019 Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears | Kansas City Chiefs 26 Chicago Bears 3 | Chiefs -6.5 |
| Week 2 2020 Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angles Chargers | Kansas City Chiefs 23 Los Angeles Chargers 20 | Chiefs -8.5 |
| Week 11 2020 Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders | Kansas City Chiefs 35 Las Vegas Raiders 31 | Chiefs -7.5 |
The Chiefs are 5-0 straight up, and 2-3 against the spread in those games. Furthermore, the Chiefs were the betting favorites in all five games.
Carl Cheffers officiated games since 2015 with Tom Brady
Cheffers did not officiate any Tampa Bay Buccaneers games this season. As a result, I looked into the games in which Cheffers officiated games with Tom Brady at quarterback. The table below breaks down the games officiated by Cheffers with Tom Brady as the quarterback for the New England Patriots.
| Matchup | Result | Spread |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 2015 Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots | Pittsburgh Steelers 21 New England Patriots 28 | Patriots -7 |
| Super Bowl 51 Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots | New England Patriots 34 Atlanta Falcons 28 | Patriots -3 |
| Week 5 2017 New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | New England Patriots 19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 | Patriots -3.5 |
| Week 2 2018 New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars | New England Patriots 20 Jacksonville Jaguars 31 | Patriots -2 |
| Week 3 2019 New York Jets vs New England Patriots | New York Jets 14 New England Patriots 30 | Patriots -20.5 |
| Week 9 2019 New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens | New England Patriots 20 Baltimore Ravens 37 | Patriots -3 |
Brady finished with a 4-2 record straight up and 2-3-1 against the spread. Furthermore, Cheffers officiated Super Bowl 51 between the Patriots and the Falcons. We all know how that game ended up!
Carl Cheffers 2020 Stats
In the 2020-2021 season Cheffers officiated 15 regular-season games and one playoff game. Home teams finished 7-9 straight up and 11-5 against the spread. Furthermore, underdogs this season finished 11-5 against the spread. Lastly, the Under was 10-6 in the games officiated by Cheffers. As I mentioned above Cheffers officiated two games involving the Kansas City Chiefs and no games involving the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
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Betting Analysis
Based off the trends I do not see a statistical advantage to either side. Tom Brady is 4-2 and Patrick Mahomes is a perfect 5-0 with Cheffers as the referee. However, if I had to make a choice I would go with Buccaneers against the spread and the Chiefs on the money line along with under the total.
