NFL Referees Week 16 Report

NFL Week 16 Referee Stats Report

Week 15 leans resulted in a 1-3 week. This week, I’ve done a deeper dive in the NFL Referees Week 16 report and give two leans. Furthermore, remember to use these stats as a handicapping tool and not solely base your bets on these stats.

What I want to do in this week’s post is highlight the best referees for the total, and the best referees for a home team and road team. Let me dive right into it!


Top ATS Record for Home Teams:

Jerome Boger: 9-5 (64.2%)

Ron Torbert 8-5 (61.5%)

Top ATS Record for Road Teams:

Clay Martin 9-2-1 (79.2%)

Shawn Hochuli 9-3 (75%)

Scott Novak 8-4-1 (65.4%)

Top Over Referees:

Clete Blakeman 12-1 (92.3%)  Average Total: 60.14 points

Brad Rogers 9-1 (90%)  Average Total: 56.08 points

Clay Martin 10-2 (83.3%)  Average Total: 56.17 points

Jerome Boger 11-3 (78.6%)  Average Total: 43.07 points

Top Under Referees:

Tony Corrente 10-3 (76.9%) Average Total: 45.15 Points

Ron Torbert 10-3 (76.9%) Average Total: 38.73 Points

Scott Novak 9-4 (69.2%) Average Total: 45.4 Points

Bill Vinovich 9-4 (69.2%) Average Total: 46.58 Points

NFL Referees Week 16

There are a few eye glaring percentages for a few referees. First, road teams are covering 79.2% of the time in games officiated by Clay Martin. Consequently, road teams average 32.5 points per game in games officiated by Clay Martin.

Second, Tony Corrente and Ron Torbert are the best Under referees. As a result, these two referees have the best Under percentage of all. Lastly, Torbert’s officiated games average a league low 38.73 points per game! In an era where it is all about quarterbacks and the passing game this stat is appalling to me!

Third, I could not believe this until I followed this stat closely. In addition, Clete Blakeman and Brad Rogers are an Over bettor dream referees. As a result, they are combined 21-2 to the Over. Furthermore, Blakeman’s game average 60 points per game! Lastly, Clay Martin is not too far behind as he has an 83.3% to the Over averaging 56 points per game.

NFL Referees Week 16 Leans

Clete Blakeman

I can not sit here and ignore a referee who has a 90+% trend. Yes, it is a small sample size for the season but as a bettor you must continue to ride the hot hand. As mentioned, Blake is 12-1 to the Over averaging 60 points per game. Lastly, Blakeman is assigned to officiate the NFC West matchup on Saturday Night between the San Francisco 49ers and the Arizona Cardinals.

Lean: 49ers/Cardinals Over

Scott Novak

As I mentioned earlier Novak is one the best Under referees. However, he is also favorable to the Road teams. As a result, road teams are 10-3 straight up, and 9-4-1 against the spread in games officiated by Novak. Lastly, Novak is assigned to the matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Detroit Lions.

Lean: Bucs On the Spread

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