Week 13 is in the books and I had a perfect 3-0 week! I hope to continue this momentum in NFL Week 14 picks. My season record sits at 19-15 (55.9%). Week 14 has a few marquee matchups this week including the two primetime games this week between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens visiting the Cleveland Browns.
Let me dive into Week 14!
NFL Week 14 Picks
Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
The Titans are coming off a thrashing in Week 13 against the Cleveland Browns. However, on the season Titans offense keeps chugging along. Titans are averaging 29 points per game. Furthermore, in the Ryan Tannehill era the Titans scored 42 and 33 respectively against the Jaguars. Also, Titans offense ranks #6 in yards per play, #4 in yards per completion, #6 in yards per rush attempt. Lastly, Titans are in a must win situation to keep the lead in the AFC South and the Titans offense should be on full display in Week 14.
I continue to fade the Jaguars defense week in and week out. As a result, Jaguars defense ranks dead last in yards per play allowed, #32 in yards per completion allowed, and #17 in yards per rush allowed. Lastly, Jaguars are allowing 136 rushing yards per game. Derrick Henry will have a big game Sunday against this defense.
Best Bet: Titans Team Total Over 30.5
Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders
The Colts offense is finding its stride over the past four weeks. Furthermore, Colts got T.Y Hilton and Jonathan Taylor back which has significantly boosted the offense. As a result, over the last four weeks Colts are averaging 39 points per game. Also, Philip Rivers over the last four weeks has a 8:2 touchdown to interception ratio and averaging 294 passing yards per game.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense ranks #25 in yards per play allowed. Furthermore, Raiders rank #27 in opponents’ yards per completion and #22 in yards per rush attempt. Also, Raiders allow 28.8 points per game and over the last three games Raiders are allowing 35 points per game. Lastly, Raiders allow 257 passing yards per game.
Best Bet: Colts/Raiders Over 50.5
Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Rest Advantage
The Bucs are coming off a bye week and have not traveled for a game since their Week 10 matchup against the Carolina Panthers. The biggest question for the Bucs is, did they improve their offensive woes in the bye week. Coupled with rest advantage and a matchup against a subpar Vikings defense I expect to see Bucs offense find their groove.
Vikings defense ranks #22 in yards per play allowed, #25 in opponent yards per completion and allow 262NFL Week 14 Stat Sheets passing yards per game. The defense is below average and face the Bucs offense this coming Sunday. Furthermore, Bucs are the #1 rush defense who should be able to limit Dalvin Cook. Lastly, Vikings allow 121 rush yards per game which should set up play action passing for Tom Brady.