This week, the Bears meet the Rams in the most top heavy Monday night slate so far this season. There is extreme volatility in the lower priced players. It will be tough to find much differential in your lineups. Because of that, my Monday Showdown Picks are more chalky than usual.
Chicago has proven to be a scrappy team and is enjoying a favorable record without a blockbuster roster. The Rams on the other hand, have a favorable record, but somehow feel like an underperforming squad. The odds makers are not expecting a ton of scoring in this matchup setting the over/under at around 44.5. If this is the case, we can expect our fantasy points to come from yardage and receptions. Planning for this means rostering the players who have the best chance to gain those yards and catch those passes. Should one find their way into the end zone, so much the better for you.
As always, the players below are not meant to be considered a “core four.” These Monday Showdown Picks are simply for consideration as you build your lineups. Play one, play them all, it is entirely up to you. My job is to help you see the reasoning behind selecting these players and how they can help you win.
DraftKings Monday Showdown Picks
Allen Robinson – Captain $15,000; Flex $10,000
The problem with Robinson is not whether you should play him, it’s should you make room for him. The answer to that is yes. He carries with him a double digit floor with massive upside. He’s the focal point of Chicago’s passing game and should see his volume continue going into Monday night. Over the first six games of the season, he has been targeted 66 times.
He may be a little too pricey to make an effective captain in your Monday Showdown picks, but you would be hard pressed to cash without some exposure. The Rams pass defense is actually among the best in the league. With that said, with as much as Robinson gets fed, he stands a better than average chance at turning his opportunities into fantasy points. You would rather miss with him, than miss without him.
David Montgomery – Captain $12,600; Flex $8,400 RB Chicago
You’ve heard it week after week, but it doesn’t make it any less true; touches equal opportunity for fantasy points. Montgomery represents one of the better opportunities for touches on this Bears roster. He’s seen the ball at least 15 times in four out of six games this season. He is coming off a season high 19 carries against the Panthers with which he gained 58 yards. He added to that total four receptions for another 39 yards.
Over the last three weeks, he has seen his target share increase. Two weeks ago against the Buccaneers, Nick Foles looked his way eight times. Montgomery caught seven of them. The Rams have had trouble with running backs this season allowing at least 85 yards in five of six games. With Montgomery being the main back for Chicago, he stands to reap the benefits of a struggling Los Angeles run defense. Add in his pass catching, and you have a solid play in your Monday Showdown picks.
Darrell Henderson Jr. – Captain $12,300; Flex $8,200 RB Los Angeles
Even more than Montgomery, Henderson has a golden opportunity for a monster game. The Bears defense seems to be allergic to opposing running backs. So much so that they have surrendered just over 96 total yards per game. To put it in perspective, in week 1, Adrian Peterson dropped 93 yards on them. Among the others to have solid fantasy outings include, Todd Gurley, Ronald Jones, and Mike Davis.
Highest-graded RBs this season:
1. Raheem Mostert – 89.2
2. Darrell Henderson – 85.6 pic.twitter.com/5dNWI1A3Br
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) October 17, 2020
Henderson has only had two games in which he did not eclipse the 80 yard mark. He has only failed to reach the endzone in two games so far as well. It’s not a stretch to anticipate a quality night from the Rams number one back. Between his usage, his situation, and potential game script, the ingredients are all there. In fact, he may be enticing enough to use in the captain slot for your Monday Showdown picks despite his price tag.
Josh Reynolds – Captain $4,200; Flex $2,800 WR Los Angeles
As we touched on in the intro, value plays will be difficult to feel good about this week. As you get lower on the list, the chance for a zero increases at a sickening pace. But, in the midst of these prospects, Reynolds has had a recent impact game. Last week against San Francisco, he caught two passes for 45 yards and a touchdown. His upside at his price is that he has at least seen four targets over the last four weeks.
Chicago has only allowed Calvin Ridley to enjoy a 100-yard game against them. This certainly limits Reynolds ceiling, but as a dart throw, he’ll be successful even if he sees half of that. You’ll be happy being able to use both running backs on your roster by sliding Reynolds into your lineups.