For those who missed it, please check out the 2020 Sanderson Farms Championship Preview and Betting Strategies for the types of golfers you should look to target for your bets. With that in mind, here’s the Sanderson Farms Championship Picks I like this week at the Country Club of Jackson (with odds courtesy of MyBookie.ag).
Sanderson Farms Championship Picks:
Outright Winners
Sam Burns – 25/1
Three out of four rounds at the Corales, Sam Burns was outstanding. Over the first, second and final rounds Burns was -14. But he had a disastrous third round when he shot a 78. Look for Burns to bounce back and show better at the Country Club of Jackson, which is another golf course that should maximize his strengths.
Cameron Davis – 55/1
Cameron Davis’ skill set fits great at the golf course. Players who exhibit above average length off the tee and streaky putting have had success at the Country Club of Jackson, and Cameron Davis fits this criteria. Davis is also gaining just under a stroke per round over his last four tournaments. He’s in a great spot to win for the first time on the PGA Tour.
Patrick Rodgers – 66/1
Rodgers played admirably last week at Corales as he posted a T11 finish. The golf course once again fits Rodgers’ strengths, as he’s historically a long hitter and a great putter. He’s in a great spot to finally win his first PGA Tour event.
Cameron Tringale – 80/1
Tringale is a grizzled professional golfer, yet in his decade plus of service he’s yet to win an event on any level. Tringale has solid statistics both over the long-term and short term, and he fits the mold of a longer hitter with streaky putting that typically fares well in this event. A long awaited victory could come for him this weekend.
Talor Gooch – 100/1
Gooch is a boom-bust player who has demonstrated a high enough ceiling to be a winner on the PGA Tour. True to his history, Gooch has also been very boom-bust in his recent form, pairing four Top 25 finishes with three missed cuts in his last eight starts. He also possesses adequate length off the tee and good putting to give him an edge over the field. Against a weaker field, Gooch has a high enough ceiling to justify a flyer bet at 100/1.
J.B. Holmes – 150/1
Holmes is a bit of a forgotten man, but he appears to be over the injuries that hampered him since the restart. In his first start back from injury, Holmes posted respectable ball striking numbers but struggled with his putting. If he fixes that, he’s possesses all the tools to win this event and is a great value at 150/1.
Other Positional Props
Scottie Scheffler Top 10 – +140
Scheffler is by far the most talented player in the field and has the biggest ceiling. He’s a perfect fit for the golf course, but his outright price of 10/1 is a little too rich. His Top 10 prop odds are a much more palatable +140 and are a very suitable alternative this week.
Sepp Straka Top 20 – +350
Straka was a popular favorite at the Corales, but he disappointed thanks to mediocre iron play and putting. He still brings in solid form into this tournament and should once again benefit from playing a golf course that suits his strengths. An expected improvement in areas he struggled with last week should propel him to a much better finish.
Other Top 20’s To Consider:
- Zach Johnson – +150
- Doc Redman – +160
- Brian Harman – +175
- Pat Perez – +250
- Xinjun Zhang – +300
- Chesson Hadley – +350
- Kristoffer Ventura – +350
- Mark Hubbard – +400
- Beau Hossler – +400
- Jason Dufner – +500
- Bo Hoag – +500
- Wesley Bryan – +550
- Wyndham Clark – +550
- Doug Ghim – +550
- Davis Riley – +550
- Scott Harrington – +700
Sanderson Farms Championship Picks:
Matchups
Charl Schwartzel +1.5 Strokes over Nick Taylor (-125)
Schwartzel’s career seemed to be dwindling but of late he has seen a resurgence. Over his last four tournaments he’s gained just under 0.9 strokes per round on the field. As for Nick Taylor, he has struggled since the restart both with his ball striking and putting. Schwartzel should be able to keep it within 1.5 strokes on Taylor in this tournament.
Sepp Straka +1.5 Strokes over Tom Lewis (-135)
The reasons to like Sepp Straka this week are above. As for Tom Lewis, he has struggled since his T2 finish in Memphis. While Lewis does possess good golfer attributes for the golf course, his recent form just isn’t matching his overall potential. Straka should be able to keep it within 1.5 strokes on Lewis in the tournament.
