Corales Puntacana Championship Picks & Props

For those who missed it, please check out the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship Preview and Betting Strategies for the types of golfers you should look to target for your bets. With that in mind, here’s the PGA Tour players I like this week for Corales Puntacana Championship Picks & Props (with odds courtesy of MyBookie.ag).

Corales Puntacana Championship Picks:
Outright Winners

Sam Burns – 22/1

Sam Burns is playing excellent golf over his last four PGA tournaments and has positive characteristics for a winner of this tournament. He’s gaining just under 1.3 strokes per round with his ball striking over his last four tournaments, and is both long off the tee and wields a streaky putter that can display winning upside. He has all the firepower to come out on top this week.

Kristoffer Ventura – 40/1

Ventura has found his way to success after a rough start to his career on the PGA Tour. Ventura played well at the Safeway a few weeks back, and like Burns also has a good combination of length off the tee and winning upside putting. Over his last four tournaments, Ventura is gaining 1.25 strokes per round on the field, one of the highest clips in this tournament. A breakout win could come this week.

Sepp Straka – 50/1

Sepp Straka has displayed very underrated ball striking in his PGA Tour career, but he has often been hampered by his performance on the greens. However, Straka made great gains in that category this year and has really improved his overall putting statistics. If he can match up good putting with his long, solid ball-striking, he could be in for his first career win on the PGA Tour.

Patrick Rodgers – 66/1

Rodgers doesn’t look good in the strokes gained metrics, but at a golf course he’s able to blast it pretty much all over the yard he should be able to shorten the gap between him and the better ball strikers in the field. Not many players in the field has as good of a combination of length off the tee and elite putting upside, and he could finally breakthrough for a long awaited victory this week.

Will Gordon – 66/1

Will Gordon’s ceiling is as high as anyone’s, and his career trajectory is definitely pointing upward. Without the aid of advancing through the Korn Ferry Tour, Gordon earned his PGA Tour card on his own thanks to some great play off of sponsors invites. Gordon’s is a fantastic driver of the golf ball who can ride a streaky putter, and if that’s clicking he could become the next young gun to grab an unexpected PGA Tour win.

Pat Perez – 70/1

This price is too low for Perez, who probably should be in the 40/1ish range given his recent play and the overall weak field. While not the longest off the tee, Perez has displayed all around good ball striking this season and is a great putter who can post the high teens under par score that’ll be required of the winner.

James Hahn – 140/1

Could a career resurgence be coming? James Hahn played great at the Safeway a few weeks ago, finishing T9 with fantastic ball striking and putting statistics. Hahn has a good resume on the PGA Tour before he was injured, and at 140/1 is a decent dart throw given his upside and pedigree in a weak field.

Other Positional Props

Mackenzie Hughes Top 10 – +275

While deficient off the tee and with his irons, no player in the field is better with a wedge and a putter in hand than Mackenzie Hughes. He’s also a little longer off the tee than you’d normally think, as he drives the ball the same length as noted ball-striking extraordinaire and fellow Canadian Corey Conners. Against a very weak field, he has both the game and the form for another Top 10 finish this week.

Thomas Detry Top 20 – +200

A familiar name on the European Tour, Detry possesses the skill sets to play well at Corales Golf Club. Detry is one of the longest and more accurate ball strikers over in Europe, and also can ride a hot putter. He’s unproven in events on the PGA Tour, but as one of the more talented players in the field a bet at 2/1 for a Top 20 is a decent price.

Other Top 20’s To Consider:

Denny McCarthy – +175
Jhonattan Vegas – +250
Keith Mitchell – +275
Xinjun Zhang – +275
Doug Ghim – +300
Beau Hossler – +350
Seamus Power – +350
Scott Harrington – +500
Peter Uihlein – +500

Corales Puntacana Championship Picks:
Matchups

Will Gordon – 115 over Matt Jones

My affinity for Will Gordon is above. As for Matt Jones, he just is an inferior player to Gordon at this point in his career. Jones has really struggled with his ball striking both overall in 2020 and recently, and Gordon should beat him head to head.

Pat Perez -110 over Henrik Stenson

I’m not sure why Henrik Stenson is even playing this event, as playing this week seems to be slumming it with the hall of fame resume he possesses. Stenson hasn’t played much competitive golf in 2020, but when he has it hasn’t been that good. Since the restart, Stenson is losing just over 0.4 strokes per round to the field, and struggling both off the tee and with his putting. Stenson could just be here as a part of a family vacation, and he could definitely join them after Friday to sew up a win for Perez in this prop.