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Serie A Preview, Odds and Picks for Matchday 30

Serie A Preview, Odds and Picks for Matchday 30

  • Matchday 30 in Italy’s Serie A as the season enters its final straight
  • Juventus and Lazio going toe-to-toe in the race for the title
  • Odds are listed for all ten games, three are previewed with some best picks

This weekend, it’s Matchday 30 of Serie A. With Juventus currently top but being chased hard by Lazio, there’s still plenty of life left in the Italian soccer season.

I’ve listed the whole schedule for Week 30, shown the odds, previewed three games, and offered a pick for each.

Serie A Matchday 30 Odds

Sassuolo-1 (-111)-178O 3 (-123)
Lecce+1 (-119)+395U 3 (-107)
Juventus-1½ (-123)-333O 2¾ (-116)
Torino+1½ (-116)+813U 2¾ (-113)
LazioPK (-128)+148O 2½ (-103)
AC MilanPK (-103)+175U 2½ (-128)
Napoli-½ (+108)+110O 2¾ (-117)
Roma+½ (-144)+214U 2¾ (-112)
UdinesePK (-153)+129O 2¼ (-129)
GenoaPK (+116)+202U 2¼ (-102)
Sampdoria-½ (-114)-112O 2½ (-111)
SPAL+½ (-116)+288U 2½ (-111)
Cagliari+1 (-119)+391O 3¼ (-102)
Atalanta-1 (-111)-175U 3¼ (-129)
Inter Milan-1 (-116)-188O 2¾ (-112)
Bologna+1 (-113)+465U 2¾ (-117)
Brescia+½ (-114)+283O 2½ (-113)
Hella Verona-½ (-114)-113U 2½ (-116)
Parma+½ (-158)+206O 2½ (-119)
Fiorentina-½ (+118)+121U 2½ (-111)

All odds taken July 01

Juventus vs Torino

Leaders Juve have the fate of the Serie A title in their own hands, with their 3-1 win in Genoa in midweek setting them up nicely to win their ninth consecutive crown. It’s theirs to lose and with three wins out of three since the end of lockdown, they have been able to hit the ground running while some of their rivals have floundered and dropped vital points.

Torino haven’t fared as well, with two defeats and one win since the restart, and come into this one off the back of a home defeat in midweek by second-placed Lazio. That they were unable to handle one of the league’s best team at home, suggests it’s a very big ask to expect them to get anything in Turin.

Four wins for Juve and a single draw in the last five meetings between these two, and with Torino scoring less than a goal a game away from home, says to me that even at -333 there’s value in the Juve win. Easy money.

Best Bet: Juventus to win (-333)


Sassuolo vs Lecce

Sassuolo’s home draw with Verona last Sunday was enough to almost secure their place in Serie A for next season, but one more win looks almost certain to clinch it. A home game with 18th-placed Lecce is, in theory, an ideal fixture for them to achieve this.

But Lecce are staring relegation in the face and, while they are left with little room for maneuver as the season enters its final straight, they do have Udinese, Sampdoria, and Genoa well within their sights.

Scrapping for points in tricky away games and winning at home will be their route to safety and I believe they can nick a point here, maybe in a very tight 1-1 draw.

Best Bet: Sassulol and Lecce to draw (+319)


Lazio vs AC Milan

Lazio’s midweek away win against Torino has maintained the pressure on leaders’ Juve but any dropped points at this stage will be costly. For I Biancocelesti to maintain their challenge and, potentially win their first title since 1999/2000, tricky games like this one have to be negotiated with the minimum of fuss.

But Milan are dangerous opponents who hit the ground running directly after the restart with two straight wins – over Lecce and Roma. Going into the enforced break, they had fallen off the pace in the race for the Europa League places, but those wins have taken them to within a single point of sixth.

If they can tap into their post-lockdown momentum, Milan can make this an uncomfortable evening for Lazio on the Stadio Olimpico, and while a win is a big ask, they could pick up a vital point.

Pick: Lazio and AC Milan to draw (+217)

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