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NFL Conference Championships Props, Odds, Best Bets

NFL Prop Bets

The Conference Championships are set for Sunday, January 19, and we just can’t wait to see a couple of tremendous matchups. The action starts at Arrowhead Stadium where the Kansas City Chiefs welcome the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Championship Game, while the NFC Championship Game will see the Green Bay Packers visit the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. Now, let’s take a look at must-take prop bets for Sunday.

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AFC Championship Game Info – Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs

Time: Sunday, January 19th @ 3:05 PM ET

Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Weather: 25 F Sunny

TV: CBS

Spread: Chiefs -7.0

Money Line: +260 | -340

Total: 53.0

Titans at Chiefs Prop Bets

  1. Alternative Total – Over 50.5 points (-163)

The Kansas City Chiefs humiliated the Houston Texans 51-31 in the Divisional Round. They overcame a 24-0 deficit, scoring a TD on seven straight drives. Patrick Mahomes tossed for five touchdowns, and three of those went to Travis Kelce. The Chiefs were completely unstoppable, and I expect to see more of the same against the Titans who upset No. 1 seed Baltimore 28-12 in the Divisional Round and New England 20-13 in the Wild-Card Round.

Tennessee played some terrific defense against the Pats and Ravens. The Titans had a great game-plan in Baltimore, but the Chiefs’ offense is something different. Kansas City’s receiving corps (including Travis Kelce) is a hundred million times better than the Ravens and Pats’ together. There’s no way the Titans will slow down Patrick Mahomes and Chiefs’ passing game. On the other hand, I expect Derrick Henry to dominate the Chiefs on the ground. Kansas City’s defense is fragile, and the Titans will find a way to score a few touchdowns. Furthermore, these two foes met in Week 10 in Nashville, and the Titans won 35-32.

  1. Player Total Rush Yards – Derrick Henry over 106.5 (-120)

In that 35-32 victory over Kansas City, Derrick Henry had 23 carries for 188 yards and a couple of touchdowns. Against the Pats in the Wild-Card Round, Henry had 34 carries for 182 yards and a TD, while he ran for 195 yards on 30 carries against Baltimore last week. He will dominate the Chiefs, too. Stephen Spagnuolo will prepare his boys for Henry, but that won’t help at all. The 2015 Heisman Trophy winner will continue to roll at Arrowhead Stadium.

  1. Touchdown Scorer – Derrick Henry (-150)

I’m all in with Derrick Henry in this one. Patrick Mahomes will throw for a couple of touchdowns, but the odds are not attractive at -210, so I’m going with Henry to score. He couldn’t find the end zone against Baltimore, and I’m pretty sure Henry will bounce back in the biggest game of his career. As I’ve mentioned above, Henry scored a pair of touchdowns on Kansas City in Week 10. I don’t see why he won’t score at least one this time.

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NFC Championship Game Info – Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers   

Time: Sunday, January 19th @ 6:40 PM ET

Location: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California

Weather: 61 F Cloudy

TV: FOX

Spread: 49ers -7.5

Money Line: +280 | -350

Total: 46.5

Packers at 49ers Prop Bets  

  1. Alternative Point Spread – Green Bay Packers +10.5 (-163)

Last week, I got burned on the Vikings, hoping they will lose by 10 or fewer points against my favorites team. Now, I’m going against the Niners once more. I’m pretty sure San Francisco will beat the Packers at home, but Green Bay has another chance to keep it close at Levi’s Stadium. Back in Week 12, the 49ers dismantled the Packers 37-8. Green Bay should have learned the lesson. Aaron Rodgers tossed for only 104 yards in that embarrassing defeat. I cannot imagine another dreadful performance by the Packers in California. Their defense should be good enough to slow down the Niners’ furious ground game. Also, the Packers’ O-line will be a key factor, as the Niners’ pass rush is ridiculously good.

  1. Alternative Total – Under 50.5 points (-192)

The first meeting of the season between San Francisco and Green Bay saw 45 points in a lopsided outcome. The 49ers scored 23 unanswered points in the first half, and the Packers will be fired up to prove their worth this time. Green Bay’s pass rush is excellent. Za’Darius Smith and Preston Smith combined for 25.5 sacks this season. Also, they sacked Jimmy G twice in Week 12. Hereof, I expect the Niners to run as much as they can. Their ground game is incredible, and the Niners will try their best to control the clock and keep Aaron Rodgers on the sidelines. I just don’t see a firecracker with 50-plus points in the total.

  1. Touchdown Scorer – Jimmy Graham (+350)

Well, this one is a long shot, for sure, but I think it’s worth a try. The Niners’ secondary has been remarkable all season long, but the Niners allowed 23 of 34 touchdowns in the regular season through the air. Devonte Adams scored for the Packers in Week 12 and had a couple of touchdowns against the Seahawks last week, so he’ll be in a double coverage all the time. Jimmy Graham is big and strong. He’s an experienced guy who will have to step up, as the Packers’ receiving corps lacks talent besides Adams. Interestingly, Graham hasn’t scored since Week 7, and this could be a nice opportunity for a 10-year veteran.

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