Happy Monday y’all, and here’s to me still being in the top 10 (tied for 7th) in the Freeroll Football Contest. This week on Monday Night Football, we get the fighting Jason Garrets vs. my beloved dumpster fire AKA the New York Giants. Will the Giants show up and put up a fight in what will be their last back against the wall game of the year? Can the Cowboys re-claim the top spot in the NFC East with a dominating performance? And of course, will this be the week Booger gets fired?
For now, let’s dive into the matchup and identify inefficiencies in the market to get you paid on some Monday Night Football prop bets. For more in-depth analysis, listen to the Week 9 Picks Podcast below.
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Season record: 23-24 (-.35u)
Monday Night Football Game Info
Time: Monday, November 4th @ 5:15 PM Pacific
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Weather: 52f and clear
Spread: Cowboys -7
MoneyLine: -330 | +260
Odds courtesy of MyBookie.ag *Promo Code SGP*
Monday Night Football Prop Bets
1. Evan Engram Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-110) and 2. Over 4.5 Receptions (-110)
In their first matchup this year, Engram was a beast going for 116 yards on 11 catches. The Cowboys meanwhile are ranked 31st against the TE according to DVOA, giving up ~6 catches for 65 yards per game. Don’t overthink this matchup as it should be game script proof.
3. Amari Cooper Over 77.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Cooper shredded the Giants in their week one matchup to the tune of 6 for 106 on nine targets. The Giants continue to struggle to shut down opposing teams #1 WR to the tune of #30 DVOA. With the game plan set to focus on shutting down Zeke and the run game, I expect Cooper to get his.
4. Saquon Barkley Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The Narrative continues as I look to the previous matchup, and even in a game that saw the Giants get slaughtered, Barkley still got his to the tune of 120 yards. Shurmur and the giants MUST get Barkley going if they want to compete, and 75.5 rushing yards is a very modest total for the All-World Barkley to reach.
5. Rayne Dakota Prescott Over 279.5 Passing Yards (+105)
The Giants can’t stop anyone through the air, and I expect the air show that saw him go over 400 yards week 1 to continue. The Giants aren’t good stopping anyone through the air as they rank #28 according to DVOA. Don’t overthink this one, and if your feeling frisky, play him to top 300 for even juicier odds.
6. 1st TD’s (.25 u each)
I’m going to roll with red-zone target leaders with Evan Engram (12) and Jason Witten (9). I’m also going to roll with the RBs as both teams will feed their beasts when they get around the goal line.
- Zeke Elliot +450
- Saquon Barkley +600
- Evan Engram +1600
- Jason Witten +2000
Good luck and Let It Ride!