With the NFL Draft wrapped up, it’s time to start working on finding value in NFL Win Totals. There are still some valuable free agents on the open market, but we can begin to make a good case for how each roster will look heading into training camp. These odds are from MyBookie.ag the leader in online betting sites.
2019 NFL WIN TOTALS
Buffalo Bills – Over 7 Wins
Buffalo has done a great job building a talented roster this off-season. They were able to add defensive lineman Ed Oliver and offensive lineman Cody Ford in the draft and were able to add receiver Cole Beasley and center Mitch Morse via free agency.
The Bills have an underrated defense and a young and talented quarterback in Josh Allen. Buffalo is a dark horse playoff team and I think they surge over seven wins.
Philadelphia Eagles – Over 9.5 Wins
Philly has one of the deepest rosters in the league and really improved their running back depth adding Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders. They also just signed free agent Zach Brown to fill a need at linebacker.
The key will be the health of Carson Wentz and his ability to make it through the season. If he stays healthy they get to 10 wins and possible more.
Seattle Seahawks – Over 8.5 Wins
With Russell Wilson under center, Seattle has without question the best quarterback in the division and I feel the best head coach in Pete Carroll. The Seahawks were able to rebuild on the fly last season and ended up snagging a wild card berth. The signing of defensive end Ziggy Ansah this week will help the front seven after the loss of Frank Clark who was traded to Kansas City.
I believe the Rams, who won the division and represented the NFC in the Super Bowl, will take a step back this year which will help Seattle reach at least nine wins. Seattle will be right in the thick of the playoff race once again.
Kansas City Chiefs – Under 10 Wins
Patrick Mahomes is a superstar, but he is going to miss some key playmakers this season. Since last November, he’s lost star running back Kareem Hunt and will miss Pro Bowl receiver Tyreek Hill for at least part of the season due to his child abuse case. Also, the Chiefs completely restructured their defense which isn’t a bad thing considering how putrid they were last season.
Due to these changes it will no doubt take time for the defensive unit to gel. When you also include playing in the same division as the talented Chargers, and the improving Broncos and Raiders, it will be a challenge for the Chiefs to get over 10 wins.
Detroit Lions – Under 6.5 Wins
I think Detroit ends up with less than six wins this year and it mainly has to do with the other teams in their division, which I think all have a chance to win the division. The Bears, Vikings and Packers all have a legitimate chance to make the playoffs. I think the Lions did some good things in the draft and improved their roster in free agency with the signings of Trey Flowers, Justin Coleman and Danny Amendola.
However, in my opinion, Detroit just didn’t do enough in a very tough division to make a leap this year.
Cincinnati Bengals – Under 6 Wins
The Bengals are in a challenging division with Pittsburgh, Cleveland, and Baltimore, and they didn’t make the moves necessary in the draft or free agency to make a move in the AFC North. The Bengals needed a change at the top as Marvin Lewis was fired after the season. They made a puzzling hire replacing Lewis with Zac Taylor.
Taylor spent the previous two seasons with the Rams as an assistant wide receivers coach and as the quarterback coach last season. It’s tough to gauge the impact Taylor made with the rise of the Rams over the past two seasons. In 2016, during his only season calling plays at the college or pro level he was the offensive coordinator at the University of Cincinnati. There his offense averaged only 19 points per game and four times that season they didn’t reach double digits.
I will be looking to fade the Bengals early and often next season.