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DFS Golf Picks for AT&T Byron Nelson Tournament

DFS Golf Picks for the 2019 AT&T Byron Nelson

When filling out a DraftKings lineup, picking among the favorites is a fairly safe proposition. It’s when you have to choose between a pool of golfers down the line is where you make or break your chance to win big.

Here’s the critical decisions you’ll face as you fill out your lineup this weekend.

Golfers Valued $8,000-$8,900

  • Kevin Na – $8,900
  • Ryan Moore – $8,800
  • Lucas Bjerregaard – $8,700
  • Rafa Cabrera Bello – $8,600
  • Charles Howell III – $8,500
  • Scott Piercy – $8,400
  • Thomas Pieters – $8,300
  • Alex Noren – $8,200
  • Thorbjorn Olesen – $8,100
  • Russell Knox – $8,000
  • Ryan Palmer – $8,000

While longer hitters will likely have an edge with softer conditions at Trinity Forest, Ryan Moore‘s all around game of late make him a worthy selection for a DraftKings lineup. Over his last five tournaments he’s averaged over a stroke gained tee-to-green on the field and just over 0.7 strokes gained on his approach shots. In an event where scores will be low he’ll have to be a little more consistent with his putting to keep up. Still, his strong ball-striking figures should be enough to keep him relevant this weekend.

Rafa Cabrera Bello is probably the best ball-striker in this group. On the year he ranks 43rd in Strokes Gained – Tee-to-Green, 33rd in Strokes Gained – Off-the-Tee, and 41st in Strokes Gained – Approach. While he had an awful Players Championship, he averaged over 1.5 Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green in his other three recent events that produced finishes of T3, T16 and T30. The area of his game that he’ll have to perform above his baseline is around the green, which is where he’s struggled this year. Nevertheless, he’s the class of this group and worthy of selection to a DFS lineup this week.

Like Moore, Russell Knox isn’t the longest off the tee but is showing just enough in all other areas of his game to be a worthy member of a DFS lineup. Knox has averaged over a stroke gained tee-to-green in three of his last four tournaments and possesses a strong short game to handle the tough closely mown areas around the greens. Knox finished T16 at Trinity Forest last year and comes in looking to equal or best this mark in 2019.

Golfers Valued $7,500-$7,900

  • C.T. Pan – $7,900
  • Scottie Scheffler – $7,900
  • J.J. Spaun – $7,800
  • Justin Harding – $7,800
  • Jimmy Walker – $7,700
  • Seamus Power – $7,700
  • Pat Perez – $7,700
  • Trey Mullinax – $7,600
  • Abraham Ancer – $7,600
  • Kevin Tway – $7,600
  • K.H. Lee – $7,500
  • Daniel Berger – $7,500
  • Dylan Frittelli – $7,500
  • Matt Jones – $7,500

Gross. Am I allowed to pass? No? Alright, let’s try and scramble some eggs with this basket of mediocre choices.

Seamus Power’s year-to-date statistics are abysmal, but he’s gained some momentum of late. Over his last two tournaments he’s averaged over a stroke gained tee-to-green, and he’s done it on two completely different ball parks. He placed T6 on a tight Harbour Town track and T13 on a bombers track at Quail Hollow. Trinity Forest will demand a combination of both accuracy and power this weekend, so he stands out among this otherwise uninspiring crop of golfers.

Kevin Tway hasn’t made much noise since coming home from Hawaii, but between his power off the tee and his strong short game he stands a good chance to have a good finish at Trinity Forest. Tway already showed well on a Corre and Crenshaw golf course back at Kapalua, and Trinity Forest will offer a similar test for him. Tway finished T9 in this event last year, so maybe the positive memories from 2018 will put a pep in his step.

Dylan Frittelli is my favorite golfer of this bunch. Frittelli has been solid in almost all aspects of his game tee-to-green in 2019 and is a very good driver of the golf ball. Over his last three shot-linked measured events he’s averaged just under a stroke gained tee-to-green and would have shown much better at Quail Hollow if it weren’t for his second round 74. Frittelli is someone I have my eye on for a Top 10 finish at Trinity Forest.

Bottom of the Barrel (Golfers <$7,500)

Sung Kang – $7,300: Things were going great lately for Sung Kang until he sustained a disastrous 2nd round at Quail Hollow to miss the cut by a mile. But he still possesses good recent form and solid ball-striking statistics to lead me to believe that last weekend was just an aberration. I foresee a bounce back for him at Trinity Forest.

Adam Schenk – $7,000: Schenk is playing some very solid golf of late. He’s had five Top 30 finishes in his last eight starts and possesses both length off the tee and precision with his irons to be a solid contender again at Trinity Forest.

Hank Lebioda – $6,700: Lebioda wasn’t much of a factor last week at Quail Hollow but finds some momentum heading into Trinity Forest on the heels of a final round 68. Lebioda has made eight of 10 cuts and enters this week ranking 40th in Strokes Gained – Tee-to-Green and 38th in Strokes Gained – Around-the-Green. I’ll be firing him up again in DFS this week.

Others to consider: Bud Cauley ($7,400), Troy Merritt ($7,100), D.J. Trahan ($6,900), Tom Lovelady ($6,200)

Golf and NASCAR analyst for SportsGamblingPodcast.com. Co-Host of the Golf Gambling Podcast on the Sports Gambling Podcast Network. Hit him up on the SGP Slack Channel at SportsGamblingPodcast.com/Slack

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