Greetings fellow prop market investors and Thursday Night Football. This week we get the seemingly unstoppable Saints and the all of a sudden RED HOT Cowboys. While I try to set my bias aside and while the number seems a bit inflated, are you really going to bet against Drew Brees and the boys? For now, let’s dive into the matchup and identify inefficiencies in the prop market to get you paid on Thursday Night Football. For more in-depth analysis listen to the Week 13 Picks Podcast below.
Season: 26-28-1 (-3.6u)
MNF: 21-18-1 (+2.3u)
TNF: 5-10 (-5.9u)
2017 Season: 63-47-1 (+12.85u)
Thursday Night Football Game Info
Time: Thursday, November 29th @ 5:20 PM Pacific
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Weather: 47f and Clear
TV: FOX (Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Erin Andrews, Kristina Pink)
Spread: Saints -7.5
Odds courtesy of MyBookie.ag
Thursday Night Football Prop Bets – Five Ways to Get Paid
1. Dak Prescott Over 32.5 Pass Attempts (-115)
He has shockingly averaged 30.5 attempts a game this year. Sprinkle in the fact that they are going against a Saints team that stops the run and forces you to throw and they will probably be playing from behind. This is a strong play for me.
2. Saints 1H/Saints FT (-140)
The start fast, the finish fast and oh by the way Jason Garrett and the Cowboys are riding high on a 3-game win streak (SU & ATS). What could go wrong?
3. Alvin Kamara Over 4.5 Receptions (-130) & 4. Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-130)
With the way that Dallas can play stout up front, I fully expect this to be a Kamara game. But if you look closer you will see that the Cowboys struggle to defend the pass catching RB (24th DVOA). Enjoy these depressed numbers and take it to the window.
5. Over 3.5 FGs (-120)
These teams have combined for 4 FGs per game. They are playing in a DOME. Enjoy routing for FGs.
Good luck and Let it Ride!!!