Greetings fellow prop market investors and Thursday Night Football. Finally, we get a relevant matchup here on Thursday night. Carolina heads to the unfriendly confines of Heinz field to take on the resurgent Steelers who still will be without Le’Veon Bell.
Will we get front-running Cam or will we have a Thursday night Sham Newton sighting? Can the Steelers surge continue against a legit contender at home? For now, let’s dive into the matchup and identify inefficiencies in the prop market to get you paid on Thursday Night Football. For more in-depth analysis listen to the Week 10 Picks Podcast below.
Season: 26-28-1 (-3.6u)
MNF: 21-18-1 (+2.3u)
TNF: 5-10 (-5.9u)
2017 Season: 63-47-1 (+12.85u)
Thursday Night Football Game Info
Time: Thursday, November 8th @ 5:20 PM Pacific
Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Weather: 41f and Partly Cloudy
TV: FOX (Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Erin Andrews, Kristina Pink)
Spread: Panthers -3.5
MoneyLine: +135/-160
Total: 52.5
Odds courtesy of MyBookie.ag
Thursday Night Football Prop Bets – Five Ways to Get Paid
1. Vance McDonald Over 39.5 Receiving Yards (-125) and 2. Over 3.5 Receptions (-125)
The Panthers are now officially the #32 team against the TE from a fantasy perspective and 27th against the TE according to DVOA (to the tune of 8.4 for 76). Don’t over think this obvious double dip.
3. Greg Olsen Over 48.5 Receiving Yards (-120) and 4. Over 4.5 Receptions (-110)
Guess who else sucks at defending the TE, that’s right your Pittsburg Steelers. The Steelers are 29th against the TE from a fantasy perspective and 26th in DVOA (9.2 for 74). A rare Double-Double dip but this is the dream matchup for both TEs.
5. Christian McCaffrey Under 105.5 Rush+Receiving Yards (-115)
The Steeler defense has been playing better of late, specifically, they are #1 against RBs in the passing game in DVOA. The under is the play here as anyone who has watched the Panthers knows, slow down McCaffrey and slow down the Panthers.
Good luck and Let it Ride!!!
